TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,885
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,975

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,885 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef27…381bbacked Under47c12,766$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0008452.4%44 W · 40 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under46c9,852$4,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,531.91,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over53c9,531$5,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,479.6255251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under36c6,616$2,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,373.258,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over62c4,560$2,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,74318844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over57c4,438$2,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,907.7252052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Over75c4,348$3,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.0427163.5%172 W · 99 L+0.9wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under43c4,114$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,755.482,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked Over54c3,704$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.72842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f36…2819backed Over55c3,638$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,637.575242.3%22 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Over54c3,320$1,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.1417553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over63c2,933$1,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.071,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over53c2,929$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.665045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under43c2,578$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.2866352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad63…d66fbacked Over54c2,220$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over54c1,917$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.922,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x164d…50c0backed Over67c1,849$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.184257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c1,838$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.121,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c87…bb1abacked Over54c1,702$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.712759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under34c1,571$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.0868838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over54c1,524$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.236,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe647…2040backed Under47c1,385$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.785354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under46c1,261$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.5727746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under24c1,111$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.2721848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Over54c1,091$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.745158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under46c1,015$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.8762051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over56c979$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.762,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x208a…441ebacked Over56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.865347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under46c711.29$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.97852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under46c664.53$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.449249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Under46c660$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.618643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Over71c629.56$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.5616842.3%71 W · 97 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Under32c620.94$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.4214845.3%67 W · 81 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d46…3248backed Under19c563.41$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.644746.8%22 W · 25 L+6.5wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+81.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x73f3…0d2cbacked Over54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.567054.3%38 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under46c538.81$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.8556043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Under40c525$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.2518743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Over54c462.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.964957.1%28 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Over66c452.38$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.3811261.6%69 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under36c417.1$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.0420838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over53c411.99$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.751,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27ca…e628backed Over54c405$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.33951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf233…589dbacked Under47c377.51$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.432653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over55c340$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1539652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over49c317.68$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.6569848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed Over65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1056051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Under46c296.3$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.33844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f68…ef58backed Over54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.783253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under43c269.41$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8552861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over42c237.38$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.9836243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafca…92b4backed Over50c236.18$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.18683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+40.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Under46c223.72$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9127450%137 W · 137 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under48c217.19$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under44c215.96$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0211437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under43c214.85$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3846959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5968…96f0backed Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022160.2%133 W · 88 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Under49c208.86$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3259255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under41c198.64$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.373,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7cd…7db3backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.688354.2%45 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Under46c187.71$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.357451.4%38 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cee…dfadbacked Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1913655.9%76 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2d4…40b9backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.192556%14 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Over53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1826755.1%147 W · 120 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over35c180.62$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.1776653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd52f…88fabacked Over54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.835850%29 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2afc…997cbacked Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.575850%29 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over55c176.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6125360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Over63c149.68$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3616369.9%114 W · 49 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under48c144.76$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5289850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cbb…5503backed Under46c141.3$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659653.1%51 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Over53c137.52$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6315055.3%83 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0570…5200backed Under50c137.1$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.098457.1%48 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Under9c136.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8511329.2%33 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over54c133.28$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.314,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked Over54c129.82$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.967763.6%49 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc734…6cf9backed Over53c128.86$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.851181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick53cpaid+53.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Under39c126.59$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.379139.6%36 W · 55 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under48c122$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5624044.6%107 W · 133 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under45c116.82$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5732045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Under54c114.81$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5425958.3%151 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7817…8812backed Over60c110$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+36.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over47c107.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9361638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Over70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3022170.6%156 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over61c96.27$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2741556.9%236 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over54c93.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9352150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa261…775fbacked Over56c92.86$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.86757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+82.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdffd…924fbacked Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9113949.6%69 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8f7…61cbbacked Over64c85.71$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.71560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under40c85$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x354f…f761backed Under36c82.21$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under46c66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3644747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under45c64.53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.161,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Under49c64.1$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4120146.8%94 W · 107 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over73c64.01$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.411,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under45c61.93$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8722453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under48c60.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.831,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.461253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Over49c54.06$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5666732.4%216 W · 451 L+41.8wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-3.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5be1…3371backed Over56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.576947.8%33 W · 36 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e33…bf4dbacked Over58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.721942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.