TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x62d5…8f10

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: AI, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category AI at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT2552%13 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,197.37
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$154.57
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$634Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+86.5%+$548.83
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$283.81
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.63
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$785Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$371.9
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.54
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$765Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$255.2
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,053Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,053.01
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14.93
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.73
Spread: Suns (-4.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$440.8
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.61
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$160.45
Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 248.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$34.72
Spread: Magic (-15.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$115.77
Spread: Bucks (-10.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$6.17
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.35
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,040
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$320
Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$290
Magic vs. Mavericksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$21.05
76ers vs. Cavaliersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$250
All 25 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick74cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+53.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$14.5
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$16.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)backed Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$680
Wild vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+42.9%+$21.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+33.3%+$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lafayette Leopards vs. Holy Cross Crusadersbacked Holy Cross Crusaders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.