NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5db810a231c7eeba2f831dee572e1cb0c955fc10a74ec86116611b55f210b9b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $969,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $965,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $969,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Bulls | 48c | 501,836$240,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240,881.24 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe934…640bbacked Magic | 52c | 485,764$252,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233,166.61 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Bulls | 49c | 307,017$151,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151,787.47 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Magic | 51c | 165,999$84,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,739.52 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Magic | 50c | 36,137$18,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,068.38 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Magic | 52c | 27,603$14,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,249.44 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Magic | 50c | 19,917$9,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,956.98 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Magic | 51c | 15,741$8,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,702.84 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Magic | 50c | 10,178$5,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,089.21 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Bulls | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.99 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Bulls | 49c | 9,984$4,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,891.96 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 50c | 9,399$4,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,667.78 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Magic | 51c | 8,269$4,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,069.69 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Magic | 51c | 7,830$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,830.53 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Bulls | 49c | 7,755$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800.05 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Magic | 52c | 7,658$3,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,675.62 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Magic | 49c | 7,641$3,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,903.02 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Bulls | 48c | 7,255$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Magic | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.99 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 50c | 5,847$2,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,906.56 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 50c | 5,783$2,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,890.48 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Bulls | 47c | 5,656$2,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,658.38 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Magic | 53c | 4,930$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.04 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Magic | 51c | 4,806$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.07 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Bulls | 51c | 4,229$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.67 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Magic | 52c | 4,077$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.38 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Magic | 51c | 3,867$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.48 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Bulls | 50c | 3,685$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.31 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Bulls | 51c | 3,510$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.69 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Magic | 50c | 3,464$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.15 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Magic | 52c | 3,205$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.38 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Bulls | 49c | 2,923$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.28 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Magic | 69c | 2,776$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.9 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Magic | 51c | 2,294$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.54 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Bulls | 51c | 2,244$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.3 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Bulls | 48c | 2,164$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.15 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Magic | 51c | 2,084$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.29 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Bulls | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Magic | 51c | 2,040$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.59 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141d…7ea0backed Bulls | 50c | 2,014$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.81 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Magic | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.98 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Bulls | 48c | 1,984$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.38 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Magic | 51c | 1,954$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.57 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Bulls | 49c | 1,939$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.01 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 50c | 1,815$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.39 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 47c | 1,787$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.08 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Magic | 52c | 1,730$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.39 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Bulls | 47c | 1,682$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.77 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Magic | 52c | 1,613$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.68 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Magic | 52c | 1,590$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.41 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Bulls | 49c | 1,583$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.52 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Magic | 52c | 1,575$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.11 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…ee05backed Magic | 50c | 1,348$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.15 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Bulls | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Magic | 50c | 1,085$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.72 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Magic | 51c | 1,059$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.36 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Magic | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Magic | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Bulls | 49c | 996.41$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.58 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Bulls | 48c | 968.8$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.02 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aec…65fabacked Bulls | 52c | 938.77$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.16 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Magic | 50c | 899.15$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.57 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Magic | 50c | 893$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.5 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Magic | 52c | 873$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.96 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Magic | 49c | 864.86$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.81 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Magic | 52c | 792.6$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.08 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Bulls | 49c | 792.42$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.28 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Magic | 49c | 780$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.71 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Magic | 52c | 778.85$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.85 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Magic | 52c | 770.48$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.38 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Bulls | 50c | 746.31$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.06 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Magic | 49c | 746.3$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.61 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 47c | 738.83$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.58 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Magic | 50c | 679$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.5 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Magic | 48c | 666.4$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.13 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Bulls | 49c | 581.64$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Bulls | 55c | 530.73$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.9 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Magic | 52c | 526.29$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.94 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…8f10backed Magic | 77c | 503.2$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.77 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Magic | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Bulls | 47c | 499.95$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.98 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Bulls | 49c | 450.06$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.53 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Bulls | 49c | 450.06$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.53 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Magic | 48c | 444.28$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.03 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Magic | 53c | 441.7$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.72 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Magic | 51c | 435.6$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.42 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Bulls | 48c | 409.97$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.79 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5734…698bbacked Magic | 50c | 397.05$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Magic | 51c | 396.85$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.8 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Bulls | 49c | 392.73$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.38 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Bulls | 49c | 391.41$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.79 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…44c1backed Bulls | 48c | 387.52$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.01 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Magic | 51c | 383.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.56 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Bulls | 49c | 380.74$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.56 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Magic | 52c | 374.46$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.69 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Magic | 53c | 368.99$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.86 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Bulls | 49c | 368.28$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.46 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…3844backed Magic | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Magic | 50c | 365.57$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.32 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Magic | 52c | 355.09$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.44 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-15.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-9.5)Magic won
- Franz Wagner: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Magic vs. BullsMagic won
- Magic vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 124.5Under won
- Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5Under won
- Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5Under won
- Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5Under won
- Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5Under won
- Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 245.5Under won
- Spread: Magic (-14.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.