NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x286e88c7eb6f67a5d5ab7e2dcbdc03d63227a954b128e6b729ae2f88b9a919d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $445,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $543,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $445,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x97b1…1f26backed Bulls | 3c | 30,160$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.57 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Bulls | 10c | 17,233$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.33 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Bulls | 12c | 16,058$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.15 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Bulls | 9c | 13,961$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.49 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Bulls | 11c | 5,679$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.23 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls | 10c | 5,676$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.6 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Bulls | 1c | 5,636$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bulls | 1c | 4,908$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…3a21backed Bulls | 12c | 4,861$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.32 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Bulls | 0c | 4,379$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Bulls | 12c | 4,244$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.3 | 141 | 7.8%11 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bulls | 8c | 3,641$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.14 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…b218backed Bulls | 11c | 3,114$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.51 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Bulls | 7c | 3,000$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.66 | 252 | 26.6%67 W · 185 L | -26.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x02b9…bfd3backed Bulls | 11c | 2,711$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a80…8c5ebacked Bulls | 12c | 2,651$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.07 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 10c | 2,583$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.24 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…90cbbacked Bulls | 12c | 2,245$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.38 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Bulls | 9c | 2,205$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.45 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 9c | 2,041$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.71 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Bulls | 9c | 1,972$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Bulls | 10c | 1,850$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.99 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc741…a270backed Bulls | 10c | 1,835$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.47 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24d5…9e7cbacked Bulls | 10c | 1,834$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.45 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…8fe0backed Bulls | 11c | 1,692$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.16 | 180 | 43.9%79 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Bulls | 9c | 1,660$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.76 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Bulls | 9c | 1,653$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Bulls | 10c | 1,308$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.03 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bulls | 10c | 1,257$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.68 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Bulls | 9c | 1,229$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.57 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Bulls | 9c | 1,106$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Bulls | 9c | 998.76$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.89 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d3…00dbbacked Bulls | 10c | 993.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ad68backed Bulls | 10c | 946$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…28dcbacked Bulls | 10c | 946$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Bulls | 10c | 946$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Bulls | 10c | 946$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 68 | 17.6%12 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…73e5backed Bulls | 9c | 892.85$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.68 | 100 | 15%15 W · 85 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Bulls | 9c | 874.5$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.7 | 152 | 19.7%30 W · 122 L | -26.5wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Bulls | 12c | 852.48$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…dcf3backed Bulls | 11c | 822.25$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.45 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Bulls | 9c | 808.25$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.74 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Bulls | 9c | 800.75$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.07 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Bulls | 9c | 790.78$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.17 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Bulls | 10c | 783.45$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Bulls | 10c | 662.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 384 | 32.6%125 W · 259 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…0f54backed Bulls | 11c | 655$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.22 | 282 | 49.6%140 W · 142 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Bulls | 11c | 651.14$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Bulls | 10c | 619.86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bulls | 9c | 567.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Bulls | 10c | 561.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed Bulls | 12c | 560.43$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…fc19backed Bulls | 12c | 560.43$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Bulls | 9c | 553.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Bulls | 9c | 553.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Bulls | 9c | 553.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Bulls | 9c | 553.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Bulls | 9c | 553.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Bulls | 9c | 553.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Bulls | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 338 | 60.9%206 W · 132 L | +23.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Bulls | 9c | 499.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Bulls | 9c | 499.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Bulls | 9c | 499.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Bulls | 11c | 493.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Bulls | 6c | 489.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c90…c394backed Bulls | 10c | 473$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68fe…469fbacked Bulls | 10c | 473$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d8…a180backed Bulls | 10c | 473$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Bulls | 10c | 461$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0846…a401backed Bulls | 6c | 451.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Bulls | 10c | 450$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 609 | 44.8%273 W · 336 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37eb…6bf7backed Bulls | 11c | 408.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 145 | 44.1%64 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba28…fa8fbacked Bulls | 11c | 393.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab2…ee96backed Bulls | 6c | 390.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8708…0029backed Bulls | 7c | 357.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Bulls | 10c | 338.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Bulls | 9c | 336.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 631 | 42%265 W · 366 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Bulls | 9c | 316$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Bulls | 9c | 315.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…99dabacked Bulls | 5c | 303.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7763…6256backed Bulls | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c8…2649backed Bulls | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Bulls | 7c | 296.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Bulls | 12c | 282.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0193…bad1backed Bulls | 12c | 281.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bulls | 9c | 269.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Bulls | 11c | 267.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…a57ebacked Bulls | 10c | 262.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Bulls | 10c | 255.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6794…0a8bbacked Bulls | 10c | 236.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed Bulls | 12c | 228.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 228 | 57.5%131 W · 97 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4642…21d3backed Bulls | 10c | 209.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Bulls | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Bulls | 9c | 199.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…26f2backed Bulls | 10c | 186.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Bulls | 9c | 180$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Bulls | 7c | 179.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Bulls | 11c | 178.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 336 | 32.4%109 W · 227 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Bulls | 9c | 168.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48b…1334backed Bulls | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Bullsthis page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-9.5)Magic won
- Franz Wagner: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Magic vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 124.5Under won
- Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5Under won
- Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5Under won
- Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5Under won
- Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5Under won
- Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 245.5Under won
- Spread: Magic (-14.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-15.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.