NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x404dfb4aa322139bfb1ea55cf1020e309f96722325d95bd172d2e0f013a2add8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Magic | 55c | 26,017$14,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,639.69 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Bulls | 47c | 22,616$10,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,656.79 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Bulls | 45c | 16,182$7,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,289.35 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Magic | 58c | 12,784$7,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,427.49 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Magic | 56c | 12,152$6,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,347.02 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Bulls | 44c | 11,974$5,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,268.43 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bulls | 49c | 10,836$5,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,309.88 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Magic | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Magic | 67c | 5,958$4,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.79 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Magic | 66c | 3,429$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.5 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 57c | 3,139$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.17 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Bulls | 47c | 3,119$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.9 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 52c | 2,984$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.68 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Magic | 55c | 2,802$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.88 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 51c | 2,504$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.63 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x031a…50b7backed Magic | 56c | 2,314$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.29 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Bulls | 44c | 2,226$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.31 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Magic | 55c | 1,636$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.2 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Magic | 59c | 1,103$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.89 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x141d…7ea0backed Bulls | 46c | 1,027$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.12 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Magic | 54c | 1,005$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.21 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked Bulls | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Bulls | 46c | 999.97$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.98 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Bulls | 48c | 968.8$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.02 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls | 47c | 939.89$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.04 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bulls | 46c | 884.37$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.71 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Bulls | 46c | 861.43$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.26 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Bulls | 49c | 830.8$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.09 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Magic | 54c | 783.88$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.31 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Magic | 51c | 761.25$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.01 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Magic | 53c | 747.85$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.01 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed Bulls | 48c | 701.54$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.74 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x308d…3519backed Magic | 70c | 697.27$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.17 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +7.3wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Bulls | 50c | 694.32$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.16 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Magic | 51c | 685.64$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.6 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Magic | 51c | 685.13$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.71 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Magic | 75c | 642.04$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.57 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Magic | 60c | 631.4$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.27 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Magic | 52c | 597.82$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.3 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Magic | 51c | 594.8$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.74 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d4…b79fbacked Magic | 55c | 583.8$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.71 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Bulls | 48c | 565.36$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.37 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Magic | 53c | 544.53$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.52 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Magic | 51c | 538.68$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.95 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bulls | 50c | 500$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Magic | 54c | 500$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f5…59c3backed Magic | 51c | 480.54$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.47 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…0bcdbacked Bulls | 51c | 471.4$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.22 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Magic | 55c | 450$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.88 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Magic | 53c | 404$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.04 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Magic | 50c | 393.91$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.95 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Magic | 51c | 390.66$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.43 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68e…30cfbacked Magic | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…a57ebacked Bulls | 15c | 371.13$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Magic | 59c | 354.68$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.28 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Magic | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Magic | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Bulls | 46c | 298.91$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.88 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Magic | 55c | 287$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.15 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b66…02edbacked Magic | 79c | 279.02$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.41 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Magic | 54c | 270.11$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Bulls | 48c | 262.5$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…aedbbacked Magic | 74c | 250$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Bulls | 43c | 234.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Bulls | 46c | 222.17$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5b…cc75backed Bulls | 48c | 216.63$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.65 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Magic | 57c | 214.65$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.89 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bulls | 14c | 206$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 51c | 205$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Magic | 48c | 203.45$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.79 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Bulls | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Magic | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Magic | 50c | 198.89$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.45 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Magic | 52c | 193.74$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3c…78b2backed Magic | 51c | 192.22$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.19 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Magic | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Magic | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…5081backed Bulls | 51c | 189.81$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.07 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Magic | 53c | 187.92$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a9…c9a5backed Bulls | 44c | 184.8$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Magic | 51c | 184.17$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Magic | 54c | 181.75$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.61 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…b49abacked Magic | 54c | 180.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.12 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Magic | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Magic | 57c | 171.1$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.68 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa02…8094backed Magic | 54c | 153.64$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.67 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Bulls | 46c | 149.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…cfa6backed Bulls | 15c | 148.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad51…d76dbacked Bulls | 48c | 142.97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.94 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Magic | 52c | 134.15$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.86 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Magic | 52c | 131.22$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.19 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Magic | 53c | 130.03$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Magic | 57c | 128.18$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Bulls | 46c | 125$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…eb9fbacked Bulls | 52c | 122.09$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Bulls | 47c | 121.03$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Magic | 52c | 118.27$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.77 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Magic | 56c | 110$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Magic | 51c | 108.86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Bulls | 46c | 104.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-14.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-9.5)Magic won
- Franz Wagner: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Magic vs. BullsMagic won
- Magic vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 124.5Under won
- Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5Under won
- Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5Under won
- Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5Under won
- Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5Under won
- Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 245.5Under won
- Spread: Magic (-15.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.