TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7ad4…fa20

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
314
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: Weather, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 56 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6147.5%29 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$366.18
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$164
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$124
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Erling Haaland score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$54.07
Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Will Iran be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Will Iraq be the worst-placed Asian nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$6.83
Will DR Congo finish last in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Curaçao be the worst-placed Central American nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Cape Verde finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$112
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.3
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT4250%21 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$75.6
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.15
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$15.97
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.7
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+256.5%+$33.37
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.8
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$23.2
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.61
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$49.4
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$118
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.98
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$79
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.5
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.14
Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.2
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$50.75
Will the Labour Party win the next Maltese general election by 5-10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.75
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$28.69
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.11
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2425%6 W · 18 L-5.0wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-53.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.2
Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.4
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.35
Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.77
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.4
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.25
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.25
Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+129%+$211.25
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.76
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$73.75
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.47
Will Kevin Hern be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
Will Trevor Merrell advance from the CA-04 primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.02
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$86.78
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$143
Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will Matt Pinnell replace Markwayne Mullin as United States Senator from Oklahoma?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 6.00% and 6.50%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Melissa Conyears Ervin be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 24 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+36.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.25
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.92
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on April 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+348.7%+$82.75
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 67°F or below on April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$18.94
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 80°F or higher on March 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.1
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$30.42
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$36.52
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on March 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+121.6%+$63.16
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.98
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.86
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on March 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$28.13
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$15.02
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 63°F or below on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.62
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+238.1%+$89.26
All 21 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$46.25
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.75
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$106.37
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.4
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.02
Will "Hoppers" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 29m and 32m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$19.2
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.47
Will "Scream 7" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 7.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$50.4
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.2
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$46.34
Will "Marty Supreme" win no awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.3
Will "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.66
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$90.03
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+325.5%+$122.4
All 21 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-41%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.75
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$62.4
Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.4
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.53
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$122
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.74
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18.79
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+28.8%+$17.59
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.8
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+39.9%+$14.25
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$20.25
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$30.6
Spread: Magic (-14.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$336.74
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$418.75
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 244.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$449.99
Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$61.23
Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$75.39
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$520
Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$550
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$550.51
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.38
Will Russia strike Kyiv on March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$43.2
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$16.5
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+244.9%+$28.66
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+129.9%+$113
Andrii Yermak arrested by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-48.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Over $5M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.6
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.82
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+140%+$175
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.2
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$45
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+70.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$55
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$59
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$29.6
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+104.1%+$25.5
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 25% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+669.2%+$87
Iran strike on US military by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.75
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$48.98
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$148
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.75
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$166
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.6
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$132
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.2
Will SUJA LIFE's market cap be between $0.8B and $1B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$38.75
Will Denmark win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$43.75
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard #1 song for the week of April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Will 'The Romantic' debut week album sales be between 150k and 200k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$79
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.7%+$14.79
All 9 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-41.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.46per pick63cpaid-78.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Earnings — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+80%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-61.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-63.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: DRX vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$230
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement in 2025 on Monday over 50%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+37%+$5.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NCAA Tournament: No. 15 seed to pull off an upset?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$8
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Josh Emmett vs. Kevin Vallejos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Josh Emmett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddybacked Cheddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.