Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3ad99ec37982ad5ba140618ed98dca878f1168c858d85e4b6aa574fd018bc91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,548 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9410…3c5abacked No | 1c | 5,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e6…4cdbbacked No | 12c | 3,363$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.67 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d2…39b0backed Yes | 61c | 1,334$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.5 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…9a5cbacked No | 1c | 1,170$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 11c | 904.9$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.77 | 601 | 21%126 W · 475 L | -25.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 44c | 572.06$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.92 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x295b…0f1dbacked Yes | 19c | 537.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.65 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x883a…f76bbacked No | 59c | 508.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.96 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 31c | 504.53$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.54 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 78c | 449.64$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.8 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 20c | 421.84$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.38 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 15c | 414.68$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.73 | 342 | 19.9%68 W · 274 L | +18.6wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 53c | 384.22$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.62 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 59c | 330.57$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.03 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…bfd3backed Yes | 32c | 295.19$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.53 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…d9e1backed Yes | 69c | 278.04$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…758dbacked Yes | 54c | 266.3$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.94 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 31c | 262.62$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.18 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 54c | 245.64$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.84 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…e08ebacked Yes | 55c | 242.36$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.06 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 18c | 241.03$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.94 | 234 | 7.3%17 W · 217 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…522abacked No | 17c | 227.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d7…1635backed Yes | 47c | 218.52$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 27c | 218.03$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.03 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 78c | 216.51$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.54 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 32c | 214.31$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.08 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…476ebacked Yes | 20c | 211.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.59 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…6754backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 354 | 65%230 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 60c | 199.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.91 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 50c | 193.88$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c23…56ecbacked Yes | 68c | 191.55$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 301 | 41.2%124 W · 177 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cd…c7adbacked Yes | 52c | 191.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.38 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7d…41d2backed Yes | 71c | 185$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 45c | 181.74$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…da82backed Yes | 56c | 178.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.98 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 15c | 178.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e84…3b9cbacked No | 48c | 173$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 171.27$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.85 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 41c | 168.77$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.57 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 166.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…9a02backed Yes | 60c | 165.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.46 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 61c | 164.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.41 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…48d3backed No | 12c | 161.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 51c | 159.5$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.48 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…9109backed Yes | 70c | 156.31$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…d13ebacked No | 76c | 150$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…73ddbacked Yes | 37c | 145.8$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.37 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 48c | 143.75$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.59 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 64c | 143.73$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x595a…00a1backed Yes | 47c | 143$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked No | 15c | 139.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 67c | 136.03$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x888f…23f5backed Yes | 67c | 135.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.28 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 75c | 134.95$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…cdc1backed Yes | 50c | 130.38$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 23c | 128.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x64a4…c103backed Yes | 48c | 123$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…9c56backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 31c | 121$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd88…01bcbacked Yes | 61c | 120.4$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ad…411abacked Yes | 47c | 119.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 55c | 119.43$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.29 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…8ba5backed Yes | 44c | 116.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.97 | 424 | 38.9%165 W · 259 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740e…93a9backed Yes | 76c | 116.21$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed Yes | 52c | 115$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 506 | 48.8%247 W · 259 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 110$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31d…b920backed Yes | 55c | 109.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 180 | 35%63 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked No | 16c | 108.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 182 | 55.5%101 W · 81 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…8e12backed Yes | 40c | 105.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 474 | 42.4%201 W · 273 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 62c | 103.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb334…01bbbacked No | 45c | 102.28$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed Yes | 58c | 100.3$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5c…4568backed No | 67c | 100.01$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…aa65backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…ba22backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa31c…bdf7backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40fd…9f9fbacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…abd9backed Yes | 61c | 91.73$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…1071backed Yes | 64c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed No | 40c | 87.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…10efbacked Yes | 58c | 86.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1014…b701backed Yes | 67c | 86.72$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…8564backed Yes | 48c | 86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 36c | 83.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…176bbacked Yes | 52c | 83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…b45ebacked Yes | 41c | 82.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdef0…9c46backed Yes | 38c | 79.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…fe58backed Yes | 36c | 75.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 18c | 74.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e55…9a76backed Yes | 56c | 74.75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…71b3backed No | 20c | 69.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 38c | 67.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 33c | 66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbafc…d03fbacked Yes | 38c | 65.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8680…a628backed Yes | 77c | 65.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed Yes | 18c | 65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 344 | 57%196 W · 148 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…4e57backed No | 24c | 62.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…14e9backed Yes | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C or higher on March 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on March 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.