TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4b5c…4568

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
292
Categories scored
35
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Music, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Music at 57 out of 100; worst IPO at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT6755.2%37 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.8
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.43
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.7
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$19.52
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.91
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.12
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$22
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.15
Spread: Pistons (-18.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.45
Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.96
Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.73
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.84
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.49
Spread: Suns (-10.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.79
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.15
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$31.51
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$9.19
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.42
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.33
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.01
Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.46
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT4963.3%31 W · 18 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$59.31
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.5
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$16.03
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,350
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$38.5
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$33.14
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$53.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$33.88
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.33
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$12.68
Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT3748.6%18 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 15 be between 85 and 90?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$6.07
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.24
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C or below on March 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on March 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on March 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$17.21
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on March 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$18.67
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on March 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$10.44
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on March 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6.6
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 18°C on March 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$12.57
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on March 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.85
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on March 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on March 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on March 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$19.7
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.27
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.66
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C or below on March 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.72
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.01
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on March 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.84
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Red Wings vs. Rangersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Flyers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Islanders vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.47
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Sharks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Sabres vs. Ducksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Devils vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.74
Bruins vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$9.5
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Penguins vs. Avalanchebacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Penguins vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bruins vs. Devilsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Utah vs. Starsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$11.1
Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)backed Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Predators vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.47
Panthers vs. Krakenbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Maple Leafs vs. Wildbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$15.59
Ducks vs. Canadiensbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Sharks vs. Senatorsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Predators vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+130.8%+$19.62
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Avalanche vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$20.77
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+153.2%+$24.2
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$5.26
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.47
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$59.17
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$16.67
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.24
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.05
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+142.1%+$28.43
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+68.2%+$13.64
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$55
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$15.95
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$43.99
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.8
Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$25
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$47.8
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$10.02
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 8 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$27.71
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$9.03
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$19.72
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+30%+$12.96
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50.2
All 8 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-45.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.72
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$273.13
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $79 Week of April 27 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$12.93
All 8 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-67.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
IPO — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick58cpaid+28.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick69cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+146.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-47.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+86.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.51
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.85
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.23
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$6.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$122.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winter Games 2026: Norway (-4.5) vs. USA (+4.5) gold medals?backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$31.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.