TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 236.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,520
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,356

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,520 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over49c59,951$29,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,407.951,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c14,182$7,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,985.554,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under50c8,234$4,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,077.826,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under51c7,803$3,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,823.441649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under51c4,677$2,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,296.343,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c3,834$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,949.661,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under51c3,667$1,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.522,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under51c3,426$1,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,678.852,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under51c3,117$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.4730446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…6312backed Under51c2,855$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.817236.1%26 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c2,740$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.374,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bee…a369backed Under51c2,439$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.238148.1%39 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02025641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Under51c1,523$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.039245.7%42 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe49d…ff91backed Over53c1,522$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.835655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over42c1,411$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.092,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under51c1,314$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.651,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over50c1,086$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.233251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Under51c1,005$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.2417637.5%66 W · 110 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over52c963.55$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.031,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over50c950.94$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.482,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under50c889$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.519745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x128a…a1b0backed Under51c825.01$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.255339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39284342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over49c700$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3431,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Under51c690.84$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.5124450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Under47c607.49$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.976237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over50c582$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29149345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under51c570.7$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.791,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Over52c560.31$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.3628838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under50c494.73$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.3735546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc4…a439backed Under51c485.3$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.819547.2%92 W · 103 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over39c440.52$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.981,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Under51c392.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.2914640.4%59 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9eab…7e13backed Under51c388.24$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.2414152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under51c380.63$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.511,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfdd…b1a1backed Over46c333.06$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.861361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c318.75$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa655…b10cbacked Over48c299.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7cd…e98dbacked Over50c249.68$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.849545.3%43 W · 52 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over52c231$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9193543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under63c215.15$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.948,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8105…a0a5backed Over52c201.71$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.892846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under53c196.23$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4468838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over50c176.97$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4859255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under50c174.66$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8249249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under51c161.82$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.2984443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over48c161$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0818438.6%71 W · 113 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7578648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x793d…278fbacked Under51c147.49$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.272638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under50c139.12$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.52,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under57c136.43$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8827937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under50c135.12$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.441,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da3…c75fbacked Under51c133.22$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.285034%17 W · 33 L-8.1wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under51c131.03$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2136045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under49c125.72$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.841,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Under51c125.72$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.648845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over48c125.08$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.041,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8138…1052backed Over50c123.17$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.229454.3%51 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5aa…0058backed Over42c114.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.266443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over50c111.41$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7167248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under49c101.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0958450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2110…306fbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507844.9%35 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Over35c98.85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.656154.5%306 W · 255 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed Over50c95.45$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7222454.5%122 W · 102 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6366046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under64c81$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1624044.6%107 W · 133 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee0…e158backed Under51c76.13$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.33135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Over50c73.72$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8617349.1%85 W · 88 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Under51c71.26$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9626450%132 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Over48c68.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1226745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdb6…339bbacked Over50c68.81$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.41944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08eb…9ca4backed Under75c65.67$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.42933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Under56c61.16$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8346255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Over50c58.08$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0438751.2%198 W · 189 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b5c…4568backed Over49c57.14$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.966755.2%37 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under50c56$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2839041%160 W · 230 L-32.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Under51c47.58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3140541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3b…a99fbacked Over49c47.06$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.116648.5%32 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc95f…357fbacked Under51c40.77$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9716852.4%88 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…0327backed Under75c39.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.85714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-81%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b0e…3a70backed Over50c36.84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4215053.3%80 W · 70 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cad…0303backed Over55c36.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4311059.1%65 W · 45 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Over53c36.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3512646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under58c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8737753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under63c31.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7317553.7%94 W · 81 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Under49c30.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2840546.9%190 W · 215 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over47c27.77$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.051,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Over54c27.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.794238.1%16 W · 26 L-5.6wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over53c27.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.53,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Under55c24.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8915662.8%98 W · 58 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under52c23.31$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1971752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x516d…60c6backed Over50c22.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.471844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d1c…231fbacked Over50c21.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.595251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.