TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,292
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,568

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,292 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4df3…788fbacked Over51c5,836$2,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,967.466,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over31c5,552$1,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,745.252,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Under50c4,999$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,499.4758951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under65c3,981$2,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.762,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under50c2,308$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.5441649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over51c2,097$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.54,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c2,094$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.544,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Under49c1,995$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.4618444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d61…303dbacked Under50c1,934$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.0910556.2%59 W · 46 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c1,473$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.751,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under74c1,327$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.671,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebcd…5c0bbacked Over51c1,190$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.91616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-69.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Over50c1,174$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58713946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Under45c1,072$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.358429.8%25 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12b9…6312backed Under49c1,066$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.837236.1%26 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under67c928.1$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.953,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under69c828$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.2226337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over43c799.89$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.9584342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over51c761.25$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.2495452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Under50c752.72$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.3612240.2%49 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under49c694.99$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.4424045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Over26c477.8$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2328838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over18c475.4$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.571,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over53c456.82$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.0128949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Over11c433.05$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.643647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c399.79$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.712,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c367.89$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.953,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under57c360.45$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1551,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over33c355.92$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.168,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Under58c343.23$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.612540%50 W · 75 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under71c329.28$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9931345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over42c309.88$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.152,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb0…cfdabacked Over55c291.84$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5970%0 W · 7 L-3.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under45c285.06$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.781,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under45c273.06$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.6481349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under49c270.06$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.731,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over35c264.66$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6318438.6%71 W · 113 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Over50c255.25$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.6311033.6%37 W · 73 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over38c205.93$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.051,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Over50c203.79$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.943352.2%226 W · 207 L+19.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under47c197.76$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8135546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0c7…4459backed Over47c185.87$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8711753.8%63 W · 54 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under45c174.07$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6758450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under47c171.16$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.4649249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Over53c163.92$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8825641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Over50c155$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.526745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Under74c148.74$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.64953.1%26 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x371e…0f81backed Under75c147.74$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.937448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over53c145.77$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2642853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over36c145.25$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.363,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cfa…9743backed Over50c144$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724045%18 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x199f…7e77backed Over44c131.78$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.986861.8%42 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Over57c128.18$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.079854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4d…0486backed Under78c126.93$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.277646.1%35 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under46c124.79$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2993543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over29c118.39$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7689048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over50c113.44$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.741,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked Over10c111.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.118757.5%50 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under49c105$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.551,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over21c100.37$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2352230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Over58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5816750.3%84 W · 83 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over57c97.42$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5389853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over51c97.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.51,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.566046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under49c93.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9456843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4162…0d18backed Under47c93.65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.716848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2c…fd1ebacked Over32c90.81$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.77128.3%1 W · 11 L-4.6wins-0.38per pick47cpaid-88.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over47c87.01$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.949247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over47c87.01$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.940750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaad9…caefbacked Over47c86.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.893246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3baa…68ecbacked Over49c69.47$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.934930.6%15 W · 34 L-8.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-34.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under50c68.93$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.582,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a9c…a021backed Over43c60.23$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.842050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Over35c54.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2213342.9%57 W · 76 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over33c53.71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7434953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3aa1…baa1backed Over44c52.69$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.186943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bc4…07e7backed Over33c49.79$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.314742.6%20 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cad…0303backed Over46c49.43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8411059.1%65 W · 45 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Over56c48.68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2616951.5%87 W · 82 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd79…3635backed Over34c47.39$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.113151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under49c46.53$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.736046.7%28 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Over54c46.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.834238.1%16 W · 26 L-5.6wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ccb…604ebacked Under57c45.77$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.682867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Under66c45.31$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.418958.4%52 W · 37 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5694…501cbacked Over51c40.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.382369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf793…6265backed Under57c35.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.433557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Over56c34.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4756454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Over51c34.26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4736350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over52c33.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6868838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe082…04bcbacked Over50c33.95$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.984042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1abd…579abacked Under64c33.33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.07560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+29.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Over50c29.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5510448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8490…3243backed Over53c27.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.587048.6%34 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad78…678cbacked Under75c26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.53174.2%23 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick74cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9786…b15cbacked Over56c24.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.637652.6%40 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over51c24.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.21,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over51c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2471752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over50c23.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.581,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over51c23.02$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7447436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2869…1fbebacked Under45c23$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.653100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.