TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 237.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,170
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,807

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,170 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd48a…6e90backed Under48c9,581$4,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,943.81,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c6,063$3,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,065.19,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Over48c4,198$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,022.1212646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over51c2,960$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.6917052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over45c2,337$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.136,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Under49c2,255$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.0512257.4%70 W · 52 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over52c2,194$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.263,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x144e…eca0backed Under53c2,107$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.37451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3722…1f0abacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0006150.8%31 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over48c1,546$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.812,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c1,247$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.848,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over46c1,146$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.221247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99a7…87b6backed Under49c1,128$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.115050%25 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77d4…3983backed Under49c1,100$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.991770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+35.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under48c1,028$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.3641649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under54c1,015$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.8576249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Under49c1,011$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.7322349.8%111 W · 112 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50053951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Under49c999.95$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.984938.8%19 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over41c985.99$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.811,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c900.03$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.321,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c869.14$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.861,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over51c858.14$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.994,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c730.91$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.041,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over51c647.69$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.321,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c610.79$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.184,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over50c491.08$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.542,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7c…51b6backed Under49c468.43$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.93040%12 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over51c449.77$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.3856447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over50c369.9$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.9934953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over51c362.02$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.6322047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under54c360.15$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.676046.7%28 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under52c338.12$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.471,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under53c338.11$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.912,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee15…caa7backed Over50c295.43$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.72475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+68.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over50c277.21$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.7119550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over47c255.81$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.231,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under49c213.7$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9958450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Under48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9526755.1%147 W · 120 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Under49c197.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.915055.3%83 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Under55c176.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6111759.8%70 W · 47 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Under55c176.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6118552.4%97 W · 88 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over51c173.41$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4480653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over51c171.9$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6761151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Under53c155.91$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9718438.6%71 W · 113 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Over49c151.37$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1715219.1%29 W · 123 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Over52c140.57$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.839854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under54c126.41$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1536045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under54c119.12$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7916048.8%78 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed Under48c117.75$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.238652.3%45 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ad4…fa20backed Under48c117.75$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.231258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over52c108.75$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.862,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over50c107.03$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.633,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4566046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over52c98.07$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.611,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Under51c98.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0349852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over52c97.12$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.533949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4859…b08ebacked Under50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.54852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under49c96.94$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4427945.9%128 W · 151 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5357051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8de…a2b8backed Over32c77.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.73933.3%13 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Over51c76.75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1432450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over51c74.14$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8138947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a77…4fcfbacked Over17c70.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.733745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over51c66.04$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.781349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Over51c65.9$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6139448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over49c61.05$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over29c59.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5537753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7770…f99bbacked Over51c59.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.494763.8%30 W · 17 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x73d6…09edbacked Over51c56.81$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1210047%47 W · 53 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5968…96f0backed Over52c52.3$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1922160.2%133 W · 88 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over50c48.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2513052.3%68 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe86a…7b4cbacked Under50c48.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.252100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Over51c48.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5836852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Over52c46.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2850351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Over49c46.3$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6923840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under66c43.96$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9533159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over51c43.31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0931953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a9c…a021backed Under63c38.8$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.362050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa26…564fbacked Under50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.415449.4%76 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe5…7936backed Under51c38.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6514253.5%76 W · 66 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under59c36.85$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1127553.5%147 W · 128 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d7e…1532backed Over51c36.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.752751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4c…94fbbacked Over51c34.26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.471060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x663d…f60fbacked Over48c33.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.13771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9db2…cc8cbacked Under58c33.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1217153.8%92 W · 79 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cad…0303backed Over50c31.8$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.911059.1%65 W · 45 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under67c31.46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3951647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over42c30.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8568838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1512…68f3backed Under49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.34634.8%16 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5c…4568backed Over50c29.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.66755.2%37 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Over50c29.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5521649.1%106 W · 110 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Under51c29.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0926450%132 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc51c…a913backed Over50c29.03$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.553650%18 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1f…acafbacked Over51c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.725060%30 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc816…7a20backed Over52c28.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.579552.6%50 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Over53c27.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5815651.9%81 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x891f…43cbbacked Over50c26.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.44425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd24b…3cb7backed Over50c26.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.441968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa76d…6a8ebacked Over51c26.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.593956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.