TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-11.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,857
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,149

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,857 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xacb2…b989backed Clippers52c6,715$3,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,223.0949244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Mavericks48c6,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,879.9716249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Clippers52c4,109$2,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,972.2826648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Mavericks50c4,106$2,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,036.0820843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Mavericks47c3,603$1,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.442,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Clippers55c3,560$1,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,614.5413954.7%76 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Mavericks48c3,271$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,565.294,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Mavericks48c3,100$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.0882442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Clippers47c2,048$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.3314355.9%80 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Mavericks48c1,898$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.0331046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Clippers53c1,700$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7992,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Clippers53c1,696$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79764651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Mavericks47c1,503$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.681,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Clippers53c1,316$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.9118844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Clippers51c1,104$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.922,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Mavericks48c1,009$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.48838.6%34 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3054…699bbacked Mavericks49c999.97$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.992832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-38.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Clippers53c933.66$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.9693543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Clippers51c784.97$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.6411556.5%65 W · 50 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Mavericks67c714.66$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.4257444.1%253 W · 321 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Mavericks56c695.43$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.4435447.7%169 W · 185 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Mavericks58c686.55$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.51,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Clippers51c675.98$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.2331354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Clippers51c667.04$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.851,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Mavericks47c608.62$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.012,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Mavericks56c594.59$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.0168838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Mavericks49c593.51$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.8213547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Clippers37c572.12$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.4395452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Clippers40c511.31$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.93,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Clippers52c470.66$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.9247651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Clippers51c407.65$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.759657.3%55 W · 41 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Mavericks49c395.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8818643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clippers52c389.3$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.869,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Mavericks50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19420552.2%107 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Clippers52c373.54$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.316959.8%101 W · 68 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Mavericks46c343.56$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.751,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Mavericks46c329.7$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.661,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Mavericks47c329.7$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.9634425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers52c317.11$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.554,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Mavericks49c316.54$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.124849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Clippers44c309.33$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.231,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Mavericks47c302.99$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.4147436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Clippers49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15338242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Clippers52c291.36$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.8544345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Clippers47c286.06$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1512,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed Clippers52c280.15$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.475347.2%25 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8289…0bf5backed Clippers52c280.15$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.471384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.30per pick55cpaid+59.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8165…b93dbacked Clippers52c280.15$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.473647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Mavericks47c256.47$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.552,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Clippers51c220.33$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.968251.2%42 W · 40 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc62e…108dbacked Clippers52c210.12$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.866947.8%33 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb03c…b352backed Mavericks48c201.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.885341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Clippers51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9811157.7%64 W · 47 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Mavericks49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9415055.3%83 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Mavericks49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9426755.1%147 W · 120 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Clippers53c194.36$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3533360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Clippers52c188.58$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.529045.6%41 W · 49 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed Clippers52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.653545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Clippers38c184.25$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.51,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Clippers53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.184047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Clippers51c182.77$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.565427.8%15 W · 39 L-9.5wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-44.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Clippers54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8311759.8%70 W · 47 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Clippers54c178.96$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6918552.4%97 W · 88 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf05b…c2aebacked Mavericks49c178.05$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.255230.8%16 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Mavericks43c177.06$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1318438.6%71 W · 113 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Clippers52c160$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.833748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Mavericks47c156.24$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4381349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked Mavericks49c155.1$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7620650%103 W · 103 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Mavericks47c149.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4935744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Mavericks46c147.69$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.721,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Clippers53c145.77$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5148957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Mavericks47c138.41$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.673,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Clippers66c135.12$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.652461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb7b…fb71backed Clippers44c131.78$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+144.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Clippers54c131.66$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5662744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Clippers53c126$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2256843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa02…8094backed Clippers52c121.4$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.271471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed Mavericks41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417339.7%29 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Mavericks41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4117748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Mavericks41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Mavericks41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4112637.3%47 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Clippers52c98.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5135546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Clippers53c98.91$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4958450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Clippers52c97.64$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8749249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Mavericks51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.531,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Clippers54c88.39$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6676552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a9c…a021backed Clippers37c87.45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.42050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Mavericks41c83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0326639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Mavericks26c80$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.823047.4%109 W · 121 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Mavericks46c78.45$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.093,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Clippers41c75.96$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5536949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe31d…e7a4backed Clippers52c74.71$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.861741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Mavericks64c72.4$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.342,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Mavericks47c71.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8417250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Clippers47c69.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.091,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Clippers53c64.64$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4412857.8%74 W · 54 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Mavericks46c64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3278639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf90d…15bebacked Clippers52c62.25$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.881546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Mavericks69c58.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2789048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Mavericks49c58.16$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.585248.9%417 W · 435 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.