TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Clippers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Mavericks, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,005,576
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,089,981

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,005,576 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 305 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Mavericks15c70,866$10,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,629.841,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Mavericks11c33,986$3,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,648.833,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Mavericks16c31,131$4,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,884.071,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Mavericks14c21,504$3,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,033.3920744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Mavericks10c20,695$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.631417.8%11 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mavericks13c15,784$1,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,992.522,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Mavericks12c14,245$1,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650.8466248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Mavericks15c14,238$2,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,183.1838434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Mavericks16c13,905$2,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,257.5320843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Mavericks15c11,711$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,756.7259646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Mavericks15c10,045$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.151,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Mavericks8c9,074$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.891,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Mavericks1c9,000$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Mavericks15c8,389$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.4624937.3%93 W · 156 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f5…1079backed Mavericks20c8,135$1,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,602.55048%24 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd864…497ebacked Mavericks17c7,550$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.724042.5%17 W · 23 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Mavericks7c6,780$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.6940133.4%134 W · 267 L+27.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c34…c469backed Mavericks0c6,594$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.81446.8%3 W · 41 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-68%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Mavericks0c6,550$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.68820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Mavericks10c6,209$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.5136023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Mavericks16c5,932$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.1325248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cb3…8ed1backed Mavericks17c5,850$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.42728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Mavericks5c5,435$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.661,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6101…23bcbacked Clippers75c5,000$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2505453.7%29 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Mavericks15c5,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks16c4,890$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.471,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Mavericks15c4,267$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.073,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf9aa…bb40backed Mavericks11c4,000$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-70.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c49…dd2dbacked Mavericks16c4,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.9620048%96 W · 104 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c8a…8723backed Mavericks16c3,835$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.985633.9%19 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-40.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Mavericks4c3,834$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.0144821.4%96 W · 352 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Mavericks15c3,613$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.4830947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Mavericks14c3,590$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.6629250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a84…ffbbbacked Mavericks16c3,557$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.469330.1%28 W · 65 L-9.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xab72…0888backed Mavericks16c3,169$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.733740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Mavericks4c3,108$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.7567911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Mavericks15c3,036$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.0861336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf757…db38backed Mavericks5c3,011$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.763818.4%7 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-43.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Mavericks16c3,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.988948.3%43 W · 46 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Mavericks2c2,941$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.059839.8%39 W · 59 L-12.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9dcd…7e04backed Mavericks13c2,875$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.18771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+57.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Mavericks14c2,665$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.82933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Mavericks19c2,372$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.6413534.1%46 W · 89 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Mavericks13c2,319$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.5710447.1%49 W · 55 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74bc…3d45backed Mavericks11c2,244$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.55812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-67.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Mavericks7c2,200$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.145146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks15c2,067$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.984,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26a6…dedebacked Mavericks9c2,057$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.15626.8%15 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Mavericks12c2,039$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.1720537.1%76 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12b9…6312backed Mavericks15c2,028$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.157236.1%26 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Mavericks14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28031046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Mavericks16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32015219.1%29 W · 123 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c3c…a2ecbacked Mavericks3c2,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60110%0 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Mavericks15c1,897$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.713429.9%40 W · 94 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Mavericks16c1,787$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.292,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed Mavericks16c1,781$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.8810849.1%53 W · 55 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Mavericks13c1,776$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.1218632.3%60 W · 126 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Mavericks14c1,725$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.0629037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Mavericks16c1,500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24086641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ec…81c2backed Mavericks20c1,428$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.11827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+66.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe562…cd68backed Mavericks16c1,384$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Mavericks14c1,345$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.2725641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8b3…8ef3backed Mavericks14c1,313$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.742010%2 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick18cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba04…310bbacked Mavericks11c1,303$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.992528%7 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-38.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc4…08d0backed Mavericks16c1,280$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.81258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Mavericks15c1,238$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.5560549.8%301 W · 304 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23e2…dcf3backed Mavericks16c1,157$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.171931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9953…270fbacked Mavericks16c1,140$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.323250%16 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Mavericks9c1,105$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8642335.9%152 W · 271 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x692e…ee58backed Mavericks15c1,063$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.2117428.2%49 W · 125 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5407…8e78backed Mavericks18c1,050$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.771747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Mavericks15c1,036$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.4189853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xccc6…f2a4backed Mavericks8c1,017$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.351735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7763…6256backed Mavericks3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Mavericks16c999.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16043438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Clippers72c998.71$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.0530157.1%172 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Mavericks14c995.22$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.228544.7%38 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2ac…a82abacked Mavericks23c962.07$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.611338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x382e…84a7backed Mavericks15c949$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.35333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd637…be9abacked Mavericks15c949$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.3516052.5%84 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4037…5f27backed Mavericks10c946$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Mavericks4c942.4$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.713245.5%60 W · 72 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Mavericks13c938.33$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.4818438.6%71 W · 113 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x10aa…a5c9backed Clippers77c896.51$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.096073.3%44 W · 16 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Mavericks13c884.23$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7934136.1%123 W · 218 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Mavericks23c872.77$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.2319650.5%99 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Mavericks15c865.98$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.919150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Mavericks6c849.06$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1195848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa163…934dbacked Mavericks12c837.15$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.827418.9%14 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Mavericks11c823.39$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6933837.3%126 W · 212 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d64…5c93backed Mavericks24c808.61$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.838549.4%42 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Mavericks12c792.87$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7265339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c6f…deeebacked Mavericks18c760.64$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.922941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+42.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75a4…ab08backed Mavericks16c752.08$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.339133%30 W · 61 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe704…b250backed Clippers80c746.26$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.2413043.8%57 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Mavericks18c741.01$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.8911040%44 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Clippers77c711.14$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.0527950.5%141 W · 138 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe713…c9a0backed Mavericks11c708.58$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.76633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3735…3d9dbacked Mavericks14c705.63$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8410737.4%40 W · 67 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Mavericks8c680$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.46023.3%14 W · 46 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-27.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.