TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2c6f…deee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Commodities, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 54 out of 100; worst NFL at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT2941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+42.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+54%+$127.33
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$330.88
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.77
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$968Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+81.4%+$788.35
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$28.29
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$52.95
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+978.3%+$705.37
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$360.19
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$41.28
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.08
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.92
Wizards vs. Cavaliersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.43
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$594.85
Mavericks vs. Clippersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.92
Timberwolves vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.22
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$317.02
Suns vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.39
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+70%+$37.34
Knicks vs. Rocketsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.7
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$379.19
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Jazz vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Nets vs. Pistonsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+809.1%+$267
Nets vs. Heatbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.66
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$78
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+120.7%+$297.79
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.92
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.25
Stars vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$350.5
Penguins vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+75%+$12.86
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.5
Flyers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$368
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+84.8%+$51.86
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.21
Capitals vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.88
Sabres vs. Rangersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$337.02
Predators vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.86
Senators vs. Canucksbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$216.48
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-55.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,063Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,062.53
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$9,964Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$8,152.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$23.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.