NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Red Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfd00db2feefae96ad0cff7ba06423837fa85efdf2d73dadf44338be4bcd9b2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Flyers, Red Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $623,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $757,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $623,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 402 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1925…4654backed Red Wings | 53c | 151,943$80,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,413.06 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Red Wings | 52c | 97,448$50,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,709.9 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Flyers | 48c | 70,000$33,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,600 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Flyers | 47c | 70,000$32,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,900 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Red Wings | 53c | 46,311$24,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,766.04 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Flyers | 47c | 39,615$18,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,464.13 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Flyers | 47c | 24,536$11,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,531.92 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Flyers | 48c | 20,951$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Flyers | 47c | 16,091$7,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,562.85 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Flyers | 47c | 13,090$6,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,152.3 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Flyers | 51c | 11,937$6,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,132.73 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.6wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Red Wings | 53c | 10,403$5,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,885.38 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Flyers | 47c | 10,080$4,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,737.6 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Flyers | 37c | 8,356$3,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,110.45 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Flyers | 47c | 8,081$3,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,788.98 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Red Wings | 67c | 7,800$5,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,561.24 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Flyers | 47c | 6,232$2,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,929.04 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Red Wings | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flyers | 47c | 5,000$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.41 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…a992backed Flyers | 9c | 4,444$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Flyers | 47c | 4,222$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.34 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…1e61backed Flyers | 0c | 4,155$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Red Wings | 53c | 3,759$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.3 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Wings | 53c | 3,601$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.17 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Red Wings | 78c | 3,527$2,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.7 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Flyers | 47c | 3,476$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.71 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Flyers | 46c | 2,846$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.97 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Flyers | 51c | 2,751$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Flyers | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4395…ed91backed Red Wings | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Red Wings | 69c | 2,492$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.79 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Flyers | 47c | 2,422$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.31 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Red Wings | 53c | 2,332$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.04 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Flyers | 49c | 2,168$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.8 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Flyers | 48c | 2,085$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.8 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Flyers | 47c | 2,034$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Flyers | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.99 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Flyers | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.99 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flyers | 24c | 1,844$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.22 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Flyers | 1c | 1,755$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Flyers | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Red Wings | 65c | 1,585$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.2 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Flyers | 22c | 1,559$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.43 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +14.5wins | +0.20per pick | 10cpaid | +218.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Flyers | 48c | 1,549$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.68 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Flyers | 23c | 1,407$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Flyers | 22c | 1,399$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.78 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Red Wings | 63c | 1,346$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.02 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Flyers | 47c | 1,184$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.88 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Flyers | 47c | 1,094$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Flyers | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.16 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Flyers | 47c | 1,036$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.08 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2288…8f5fbacked Red Wings | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed Red Wings | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Flyers | 10c | 976$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Flyers | 47c | 951.26$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.09 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Flyers | 10c | 930.31$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.86 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Flyers | 7c | 916.26$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.39 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Flyers | 17c | 892.61$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.24 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Flyers | 47c | 882.3$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.68 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Red Wings | 64c | 840.66$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.88 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…deeebacked Red Wings | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Red Wings | 53c | 799.96$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.5 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Flyers | 47c | 750$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.5 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Flyers | 14c | 748$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.37 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Flyers | 47c | 744.04$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.7 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Flyers | 15c | 735$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.09 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Red Wings | 52c | 733.64$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.15 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…cfbfbacked Red Wings | 68c | 727.93$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…b708backed Red Wings | 79c | 675.24$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64da…2292backed Flyers | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Flyers | 47c | 599.99$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ca…8fc2backed Flyers | 46c | 594$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Flyers | 45c | 592.29$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.33 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd4…d78bbacked Red Wings | 55c | 587.82$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.52 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Flyers | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Red Wings | 74c | 516.45$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.59 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Red Wings | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Flyers | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Flyers | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a8…95b7backed Red Wings | 66c | 494.38$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.8 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Flyers | 16c | 455$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.92 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Red Wings | 63c | 416.3$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.48 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Flyers | 49c | 412.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Flyers | 45c | 399.97$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Red Wings | 72c | 399.97$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.57 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Red Wings | 63c | 398.74$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.53 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Flyers | 47c | 378.76$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.03 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Flyers | 17c | 372.06$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Red Wings | 78c | 352.07$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84c…efd5backed Flyers | 47c | 351.72$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b99…4b3abacked Flyers | 47c | 340.21$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…1df8backed Red Wings | 54c | 321.66$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.96 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0a…a0f0backed Flyers | 47c | 320$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…75adbacked Flyers | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Red Wings | 54c | 319$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.79 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Flyers | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Red Wings | 63c | 299.99$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Red Wings | 53c | 298.04$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.04 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed52…2dbdbacked Flyers | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x794f…3906backed Flyers | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Red Wingsthis page
- Flyers vs. Red Wings: O/U 4.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Red Wings: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Red Wings won
- Spread: Red Wings (-2.5)Red Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.