NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f9948753ef53290eb8cdb87ae85df8337cc2d3fd412ab94bfbb1f7bc5c81b93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 44c | 10,588$4,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,880.81 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 56c | 6,367$3,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,538.61 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 1,864$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.15 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 56c | 1,484$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.8 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 1c | 1,008$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Under | 57c | 347.73$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.01 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…d44bbacked Under | 56c | 292$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…dff3backed Over | 45c | 285$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…3f31backed Over | 44c | 265.34$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under | 37c | 163$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 57c | 150$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.88 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 47c | 120.37$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 55c | 82.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 55c | 76.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 71.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 56c | 67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 44c | 66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Over | 44c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 55c | 37.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 53c | 30.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -12.7wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…ba76backed Over | 43c | 28.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Over | 46c | 28.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…3170backed Under | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Under | 56c | 28.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb80b…ae5ebacked Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa308…8d3abacked Over | 45c | 24.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d37…aad7backed Over | 45c | 24.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d0…6d93backed Over | 45c | 24.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0143…d770backed Over | 45c | 24.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629f…b751backed Over | 44c | 24.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a1…0ee1backed Over | 45c | 24.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a73…fe42backed Over | 45c | 24.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a7…1ed4backed Under | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6a…830bbacked Under | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de2…e551backed Under | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…b29abacked Over | 44c | 23.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…19c0backed Over | 44c | 23.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f65…57d4backed Under | 55c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e1…9a70backed Under | 56c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…c519backed Under | 55c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…4095backed Under | 55c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b48…130abacked Under | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43aa…ab59backed Under | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Under | 57c | 21.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5e…fee6backed Under | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a92…7010backed Under | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9867…393dbacked Under | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf60c…69dfbacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9b…c04fbacked Under | 56c | 18.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 56c | 18.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5this page
- Flyers vs. Red WingsRed Wings won
- Flyers vs. Red Wings: O/U 4.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Red Wings: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Red Wings won
- Spread: Red Wings (-2.5)Red Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.