TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2288…8f5f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Commodities, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Kingsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Golden Knights vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$629.97
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Flames vs. Avalanchebacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,249.99
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$530
Flyers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$469.99
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Maple Leafs vs. Islandersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$879.96
Panthers vs. Senatorsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$790
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,548Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,259.29
Sabres vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,462Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,461.96
Lightning vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$2,454.3
All 12 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.22per pick23cpaid+93.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Asian League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$2,919.99
Will Al Hazem SC vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$798Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$797.61
Will NEOM SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+322.9%+$1,186.17
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.99
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$770.26
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$609.95
Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$971Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$970.56
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$729.97
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+412.6%+$1,582.95
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$504.16
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT7100%7 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+93%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$739.98
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$5,157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,156.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,999.6
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamarkameratene vs. Lillestrøm SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,030
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.