Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Hamarkameratene vs. Lillestrøm SK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbf484b7f85f2978bfc214d623b1a7656aa7552f2bf0572f207aaa13972f2d8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 3,143$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.46 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 2c | 1,290$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 30c | 341$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.21 | 115 | 20.9%24 W · 91 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 32c | 311.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 214.22$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 141.28$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked No | 70c | 130.56$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 73c | 129.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 22c | 116.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 28c | 109.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 26c | 96.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 29c | 82.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 73c | 81.44$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2288…8f5fbacked Yes | 25c | 75.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 73c | 63.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked No | 72c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Yes | 28c | 38.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 30c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 26.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 79c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hamarkameratene vs. Lillestrøm SK end in a draw?this page
- Will Hamarkameratene win on 2026-05-24?Yes won
- Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-05-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.