TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,302
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,179

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,302 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No59c9,610$5,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,958.0822745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes34c5,430$1,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,838.3224349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes5c4,121$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.331,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f42…a8febacked Yes66c2,882$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes27c2,090$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.2748649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No71c1,662$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.1910938.5%42 W · 67 L-11.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x287a…02d2backed No77c1,267$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.471172.7%8 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick73cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52a1…7833backed Yes21c1,048$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Yes18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180560%3 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick20cpaid+701.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes20c984.99$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1972138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+52.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No67c953.32$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.093847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2288…8f5fbacked Yes19c948.97$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.3425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes44c867.71$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.0633145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No66c756$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.922254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No45c746.33$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.4262648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes19c739$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.4112957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No80c688$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.68254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Yes42c677.53$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.211729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-56.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No52c639.76$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.955829.3%17 W · 41 L-8.8wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-54.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No80c568.77$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.7515071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005356.6%30 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No74c465.59$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.1313250.8%67 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes22c450.75$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.831442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81a3…de4abacked Yes55c449.22$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.2920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No79c436.67$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.730448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef17…96bfbacked Yes58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf13b…3b62backed No80c344.13$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.83862.5%5 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick76cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes21c276.48$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0610640.6%43 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee5f…5468backed Yes70c255.21$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.83425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No24c200$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1523354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes21c190.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407031.4%22 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes21c190.43$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.54837.5%18 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No74c181.7$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.154748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No79c180.42$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.626046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No77c152.29$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.626943.5%30 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd683…b29ebacked Yes42c143.16$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+68.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8d…a2acbacked Yes70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid0%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes21c138.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes75c134.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003850%19 W · 19 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes31c130.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+45.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes20c129.78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9626041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes32c128.01$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9615649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No80c127.11$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4287344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed No18c121.39$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.071323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick16cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No61c118$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4515951.6%82 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No80c117.4$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4812963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbd6b…ca1bbacked Yes32c112.5$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+63.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e41…ca06backed No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2012738.6%49 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207343.8%32 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No79c99.99$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2126354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No75c86.88$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3214352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes49c85$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.358066.3%53 W · 27 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No43c80.52$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.83040%12 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Yes76c80.08$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick70cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe80f…b81bbacked Yes65c76.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No76c65$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.612147.9%58 W · 63 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42e7…d4ccbacked No80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.53100%3 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0943…1d8dbacked Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes20c60.54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1110145.5%46 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes18c57.07$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.27944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes20c52.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.588056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No78c51.72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.261,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed No29c51$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.374131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4f5…426ebacked Yes32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e53…922dbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.26642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d0…0736backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2516448.8%80 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7471…e7d5backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No80c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84050%20 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4014…8c3fbacked Yes79c37.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x812a…0bb6backed No80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4552…eac6backed No67c36.77$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.97650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefbb…d067backed Yes57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No51c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1526346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9522…7af0backed Yes58c34.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-65.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x187e…70d3backed Yes79c34.02$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf059…e97cbacked Yes63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No58c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.54447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No58c28.95$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.055955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf4e…5457backed Yes66c28.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1920%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8a2…77a9backed Yes73c27.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed Yes60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No80c22.56$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5652550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed No65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cd1…a23ebacked Yes71c19.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No68c17.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4718351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x604e…f1cdbacked Yes70c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.