TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$781,154
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$776,294

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $781,154 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 699 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa36f…180bbacked Yes65c107,617$70,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,242.69580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+40.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes65c101,560$66,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,521.375651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No38c81,206$30,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,268.461650%8 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No36c79,683$28,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,979.232920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes55c59,531$32,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,587.1822745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes62c39,999$24,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,799.67757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No42c33,629$14,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,3791,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes66c30,333$20,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,019.781154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Yes65c30,000$19,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,5004045%18 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No39c30,000$11,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,299.78944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No36c24,881$8,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,967.9652550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca8…f06dbacked No35c23,550$8,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,307.5520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No34c22,770$7,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,028.152642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No42c21,414$9,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,407.21,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked No34c21,355$7,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,094.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+162.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No34c18,461$6,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,184.22737%10 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No34c18,000$6,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,8802128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes64c17,819$11,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,468.41435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No38c17,426$6,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,841.9429637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed No33c15,000$4,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,049.861330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes64c14,937$9,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,623.398254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No36c12,706$4,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,114.3962648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No38c10,526$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,526.325947.5%28 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No38c9,901$3,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,138.896443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No36c9,632$3,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,156.1348649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f42…a8febacked Yes61c9,026$5,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,505.96425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes50c8,052$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed No39c7,123$2,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,354.91546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+42.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b39…54c1backed Yes63c6,992$4,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,405.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No34c6,400$2,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2246347.6%30 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No37c6,253$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,913.0818351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes64c6,000$3,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8404057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Yes67c5,976$4,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,003.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes62c5,571$3,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,471.5987344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes62c5,553$3,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,450.7824349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf09b…584ebacked Yes62c5,454$3,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,366.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0002334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No34c4,800$1,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1684548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Yes62c4,682$2,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,902.7860%0 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No31c4,639$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,218.8235157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd57b…d3b7backed Yes66c4,238$2,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,788.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51f9…26f8backed No28c4,059$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,902.112100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No37c4,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5405547.3%26 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed No37c4,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,519.972751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8372…01e6backed Yes73c3,848$2,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,802.13540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No37c3,837$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,433.3912738.6%49 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes54c3,708$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,991.6810938.5%42 W · 67 L-11.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Yes62c3,226$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fd…f43ebacked Yes65c3,091$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe37e…6d97backed Yes67c3,089$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,069.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04cf…9f77backed Yes62c3,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,860333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes56c2,862$1,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,591.43847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2895…2c58backed Yes66c2,854$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,883.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No34c2,800$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8485151%26 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No52c2,617$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.412759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+43%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x555b…c93dbacked Yes73c2,593$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes47c2,500$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed Yes62c2,400$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No34c2,400$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5845151%26 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No37c2,376$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.7930448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No34c2,368$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,562.882944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95c5…d5d3backed Yes62c2,174$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes47c2,130$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007138%27 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes62c2,095$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.9923250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes58c2,043$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.354748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cbc…faebbacked Yes48c2,013$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.3940%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No34c2,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3203250%16 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf545…8aeebacked Yes66c1,971$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59ea…ce0bbacked Yes74c1,911$1,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,411.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb60…03ddbacked Yes67c1,866$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No34c1,840$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.43948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed No38c1,741$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.53450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+37.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No34c1,641$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.712957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Yes62c1,613$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000520%1 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.46per pick66cpaid-71%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes62c1,613$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8310…c875backed Yes62c1,613$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf375…f105backed Yes62c1,611$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No34c1,600$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0565251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No34c1,600$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0564854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes64c1,563$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-62.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed No40c1,562$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.171330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Yes30c1,546$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.91520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-68%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2d0…d9b0backed Yes65c1,546$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8105…3287backed Yes66c1,539$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.7616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-65.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed No37c1,529$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+173.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Yes66c1,504$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c8…a9ffbacked No28c1,471$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.022100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+245.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes62c1,443$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.7212963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes61c1,429$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.7683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+127.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Yes65c1,421$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.892227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-45.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1635…55d6backed Yes61c1,393$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.6620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked No35c1,379$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.63540%14 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2768…2e81backed Yes62c1,372$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.4520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No47c1,348$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.835757.9%33 W · 24 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes61c1,253$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.5910640.6%43 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed No34c1,203$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.943135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No34c1,200$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7924951%25 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No34c1,200$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7924548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Yes67c1,194$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8003151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No39c1,175$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.626354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.