Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Paris FC win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe980766150b325f266bcabcce2490af437c018c75e9bdcd7504b0ff74bcadb6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 15c | 9,360$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,956 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 13c | 7,275$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,315.89 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 6,325$2,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,871.55 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 19c | 4,200$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,412.5 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…719abacked Yes | 22c | 4,140$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,239.64 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 78c | 4,063$3,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,168.79 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 18c | 3,488$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860.19 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Yes | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,909.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 20cpaid | +701.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 15c | 2,615$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.55 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 15c | 2,549$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.82 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Yes | 15c | 2,457$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.69 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 18c | 1,893$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.7 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,688$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.6 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed Yes | 18c | 1,473$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +459.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…a5b0backed Yes | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,105$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.05 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 6c | 1,079$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.29 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…bacdbacked Yes | 19c | 1,017$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 5c | 864.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.28 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +207.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 15c | 712.59$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.7 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 561.76$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.8 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 78c | 507.54$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.27 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -8.8wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…b392backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf887…db68backed Yes | 18c | 429.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.59 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 6c | 424.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.09 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 7c | 400$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373 | 188 | 47.9%90 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…0350backed Yes | 17c | 396.12$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 5c | 392.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.91 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cb…3e3fbacked Yes | 22c | 363.64$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 18c | 352$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.64 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed Yes | 14c | 335$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +176.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 314.88$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.98 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…d9c3backed Yes | 19c | 310$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Yes | 18c | 307.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…90a8backed Yes | 15c | 255.07$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.81 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +143%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 4c | 254$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb1…944cbacked Yes | 20c | 243.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +246.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf316…1e44backed Yes | 10c | 218.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +208.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e4…85f8backed Yes | 10c | 194.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +190.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 19c | 185.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 51c | 185.1$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.25 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 17c | 184$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.72 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6b…ca1bbacked Yes | 21c | 171.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.43 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…c9afbacked Yes | 20c | 165$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 16c | 162.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes | 20c | 151.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked No | 10c | 146.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +309.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…bab9backed Yes | 15c | 134.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.23 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa443…c7c8backed Yes | 19c | 130$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…5fefbacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd683…b29ebacked Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yes | 16c | 111.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.94 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 20c | 110$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd424…bf7bbacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 19cpaid | +313.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…77a9backed No | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e0…72a6backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc506…4c2dbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…a899backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +150%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 16c | 99.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked No | 18c | 92.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +139.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb0…e4fcbacked Yes | 20c | 90$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 20cpaid | +308.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x067e…625bbacked Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f83…0e8dbacked Yes | 17c | 59.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe340…3adcbacked Yes | 21c | 51.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9511…58fdbacked No | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…426ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 79c | 20.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 150 | 71.3%107 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73ec…9659backed No | 80c | 17.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf95…d76ebacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd26f…78c0backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris FC win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.