TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x067e…625b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
181
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Australian A League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Australian A League at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5028%14 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Yan Diomande win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$24.47
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2937.9%11 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick30cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$72.91
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$109.84
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+300%+$45
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+93.1%+$93.05
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.77
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.21
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$42.74
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26.24
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.92
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.06
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$106.68
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+38.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$100.43
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+300%+$42.97
Will Karlsruher SC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+171.8%+$49.58
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.63
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.51
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$46.88
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.93
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$24.58
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.53
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$29.12
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick37cpaid-57.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.42
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.18
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.28
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$38.78
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.35
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.6
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.29
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.43
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.52
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$222.58
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+94.4%+$118.01
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$23.88
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$24.58
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-47.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+68.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+57.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+150%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick19cpaid+215.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Ajax vs. PSV: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$9.32
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$138.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.