Serie A · resolved market
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc07cc52ba8f3b7781a66d352735cfb60829c18a064379bd8e3cbae5784d09eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $186,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa3f8…4682backed Yes | 17c | 13,996$2,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 15c | 9,021$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.27 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 16c | 6,403$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.72 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 15c | 6,128$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.95 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 16c | 6,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.97 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 15c | 5,225$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.18 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c01…a931backed Yes | 4c | 4,499$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 17c | 3,150$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.5 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f12…1937backed Yes | 4c | 2,567$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac3…e2c1backed Yes | 15c | 2,310$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…5977backed Yes | 3c | 1,916$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 4cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,889$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0c…ba73backed Yes | 16c | 1,875$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…7c31backed Yes | 16c | 1,842$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.7 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 16c | 1,240$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.74 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7585…ea79backed Yes | 16c | 1,151$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…68e5backed Yes | 4c | 1,140$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes | 14c | 999.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfc…b095backed Yes | 16c | 952.25$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef3e…9e72backed Yes | 15c | 951.42$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 19c | 807.57$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.07 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae4…714cbacked Yes | 15c | 799.96$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 14c | 799.94$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 3c | 720.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…d9c3backed Yes | 15c | 630$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…6ca4backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f4…f3dabacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 14c | 574$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Yes | 16c | 437.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 384.68$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 6c | 378.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Yes | 12c | 375$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ddc…b4f0backed Yes | 3c | 312.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 4c | 273.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 16c | 258.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 15c | 243$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc06e…5796backed Yes | 16c | 225$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9a…3639backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca6f…1c42backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…131abacked Yes | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 15c | 190.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067e…625bbacked Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe07d…895fbacked Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Yes | 16c | 140$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9503…1fd2backed Yes | 13c | 135.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…f11ebacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe3…d0c9backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b8…1417backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Yes | 15c | 116.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…e954backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…6fd4backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf1…fa85backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 16c | 86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x692c…aadebacked Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…f481backed Yes | 15c | 83.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Yes | 16c | 63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd293…d3b3backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…79ecbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-24?this page
- Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-24?Yes won
- Will US Cremonese vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.