Serie A · resolved market
Will US Cremonese vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb494598c5e692e0e382e4d450f0f5efd5a44eb9373b2ae18d9297455624481f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 79c | 15,301$12,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,138.91 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 23c | 10,305$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.2 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 25c | 8,400$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 20c | 7,225$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.05 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 21c | 5,008$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.68 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 21c | 4,325$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.15 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 3,652$2,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.7 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 80c | 3,353$2,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.5 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 21c | 2,000$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.25 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 21c | 1,756$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.7 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 75c | 1,479$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.76 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 21c | 1,200$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 79c | 969.43$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.48 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 79c | 969.43$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.48 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 946.35$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.73 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 24c | 846.66$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 79c | 791.81$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 21c | 730.73$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 78c | 598.82$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 13c | 432.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 16c | 417.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.73 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 21c | 382.01$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.22 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f12…1937backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Yes | 20c | 299.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 10c | 288.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 21c | 252$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 21c | 240$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 218.26$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked Yes | 22c | 180$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 15c | 162.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 78c | 160.97$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…9fc7backed Yes | 15c | 153.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16a…d1e4backed Yes | 8c | 137.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 73c | 132.7$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 27c | 130.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 78c | 129.58$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 22c | 105$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…0736backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Yes | 20c | 80.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 21c | 78.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 21c | 66.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 79c | 63.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…f11ebacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bf…f385backed No | 80c | 60.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 20c | 56.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fdb5backed No | 77c | 50.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 76c | 45.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 77c | 43.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…feb3backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 79c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked No | 76c | 26.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 75c | 23.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 79c | 14.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff71…c414backed No | 79c | 12.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Cremonese vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?this page
- Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-24?Yes won
- Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.