TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xff71…c414

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3.89
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.23
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.2
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.56
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.54
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
All 8 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.68
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.35
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3.95
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
All 6 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+73.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationalsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$11.99
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+181.7%+$53.54
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$8.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Cremonese vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.