MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf25d45b4b22f28cc53830979897c6c8ae4292126575c2a67162931f25bc8ccb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Arizona Diamondbacks, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $838,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $772,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $838,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 506 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 173,114$77,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,711.34 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 143,294$78,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,811.69 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 118,641$50,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,106.02 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 86,017$48,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,851.28 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 50,000$29,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,999.98 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 44,444$24,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,888.61 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Baltimore Orioles | 5c | 18,897$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.86 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Baltimore Orioles | 6c | 14,377$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.64 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 13,928$7,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,682.41 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 13,820$6,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,812.94 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 12,651$7,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,310.05 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 10,757$6,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,024.15 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 10,705$6,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,156.31 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 10,558$5,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,490.19 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4b…ff07backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 10,000$5,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,604.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 9,962$4,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,580.71 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 9,839$5,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,510.04 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Baltimore Orioles | 5c | 9,430$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.5 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 8,610$3,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,079.89 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 7,576$3,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,283.92 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 7,521$3,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,136.61 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 7,078$3,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120.75 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 5,551$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,234.53 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 5,489$2,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,938.29 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 5,329$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,405.82 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 5,315$2,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,976.51 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 5,084$2,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,847.09 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Baltimore Orioles | 5c | 4,715$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.75 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 4,298$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 31c | 4,213$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.8 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 4,098$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.01 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Baltimore Orioles | 7c | 3,958$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.26 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Baltimore Orioles | 7c | 3,936$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.63 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 3,935$2,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.12 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 7c | 3,935$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.64 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Baltimore Orioles | 7c | 3,913$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.99 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Baltimore Orioles | 5c | 3,772$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.6 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…f49ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 3,660$2,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,123.16 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 3,647$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.45 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x874f…a13dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 3,622$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 3,513$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.2 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 3,466$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.44 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Baltimore Orioles | 5c | 3,395$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.74 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 3,382$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.14 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 35c | 3,271$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.09 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Baltimore Orioles | 1c | 3,075$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 64c | 3,062$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.08 | 250 | 66.4%166 W · 84 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…0162backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 2,994$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.36 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 2,961$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.94 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 2,930$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.64 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 2,899$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.55 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 2,849$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.35 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 2,800$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.39 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 2,796$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.04 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 2,622$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.08 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 2,605$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.42 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 2,544$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.53 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8101…e7bebacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 2,479$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.14 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 2,399$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.64 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 2,363$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.9 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x205c…7c52backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 2,259$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 2,210$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.91 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…9f8fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 30c | 2,115$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.75 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 2,089$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.75 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 1,996$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.91 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 1,939$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.03 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 1,924$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.46 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Baltimore Orioles | 7c | 1,859$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.78 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 1,828$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.96 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Baltimore Orioles | 8c | 1,755$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.74 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…ea87backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 1,739$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Baltimore Orioles | 7c | 1,696$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.69 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 1,530$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.39 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 1,523$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.3 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 27c | 1,455$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.93 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…daa7backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 1,436$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 1,364$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.94 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…629abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 1,345$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.57 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 1,281$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.89 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 1,279$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.01 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 1,210$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.28 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…243cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 1,149$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 1,067$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.18 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 1,050$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.5 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 1,043$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.95 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…77e1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 1,040$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,023$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.45 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 68c | 1,011$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.46 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a59…d798backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 1,004$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…bc70backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 981.24$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.56 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 974.39$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.66 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 971.6$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.93 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 969.95$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.49 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 968.51$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.84 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 966.4$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Baltimore Orioles | 8c | 957.41$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.73 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.