TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-12.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$412,182
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$422,103

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $412,182 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf28e…cab2backed Cavaliers32c108,907$34,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,364.1556646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Cavaliers78c94,860$73,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,827.2215644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Knicks67c74,736$50,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,470.071,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Knicks62c60,000$37,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,000.0628056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Knicks68c49,999$33,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,999.6826753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Cavaliers32c31,251$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00016846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Knicks22c30,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,399.993844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Knicks22c20,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,60048343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Cavaliers25c17,934$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,40011034.5%38 W · 72 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Cavaliers32c16,069$5,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,094.021,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Knicks72c12,777$9,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,627.546651.5%34 W · 32 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Cavaliers55c11,009$6,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,039.081,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Knicks22c10,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,80049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Knicks24c7,292$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,541.679725.8%25 W · 72 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Knicks61c5,692$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,192.2752461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks77c5,535$4,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.7942842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Knicks74c4,984$3,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.6719246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Cavaliers32c4,601$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.3230551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Knicks25c4,059$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,036.3990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers48c3,523$1,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,704.3369848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Cavaliers77c3,000$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,309.9920155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Knicks23c3,000$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,324.9112741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Knicks22c2,982$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,325.9656843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Cavaliers42c2,930$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.658648.8%42 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks24c2,577$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,958.8525352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4d…20ccbacked Cavaliers42c2,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-53.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks24c2,274$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,725.1864948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks55c2,026$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.3353842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Knicks21c2,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,58058740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Knicks40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2007950.6%40 W · 39 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Knicks21c2,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,569.9110049%49 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc71…2c40backed Knicks63c1,821$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.814738.3%18 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+85%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers22c1,801$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.282,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Cavaliers20c1,754$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.2513435.8%48 W · 86 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2768…2e81backed Knicks65c1,714$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.991861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Knicks71c1,683$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.4843269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Knicks79c1,651$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.9334852.3%182 W · 166 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Cavaliers75c1,464$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.962,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Cavaliers34c1,296$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.231,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked Cavaliers53c1,244$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.763441.2%14 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-35.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Knicks69c1,223$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.131,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Knicks23c1,214$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.783644.4%16 W · 20 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks47c1,178$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.698,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Knicks23c1,139$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.594531.1%14 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks26c1,113$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.6752150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Cavaliers38c1,043$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012048.3%58 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Cavaliers29c1,039$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30028838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc43c…e9e8backed Cavaliers20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Cavaliers30c999.98$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005937.3%22 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Cavaliers29c973.94$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.6818557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Cavaliers43c900$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38736243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Cavaliers9c845$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4544821.4%96 W · 352 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Cavaliers42c833.52$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid+41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Cavaliers47c769.7$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.7668838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09d4…5f81backed Cavaliers41c731.9$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004626.1%12 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xeec6…4558backed Cavaliers23c712.5$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.39per pick50cpaid-78.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc83f…23e4backed Cavaliers40c687.8$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.121225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Cavaliers29c671.99$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.887152.1%37 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ab…8432backed Knicks72c647.57$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.075446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Cavaliers39c609.88$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2405743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks22c599.91$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.131,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Cavaliers29c538.68$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.223339.4%13 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1101…dfd5backed Cavaliers7c519.96$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.63444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Cavaliers52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c5…378abacked Knicks22c500$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39015744.6%70 W · 87 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf032…895dbacked Knicks75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1252466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc02…f89cbacked Knicks80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10013947.5%66 W · 73 L-11.2wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Knicks22c499.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.9978445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Cavaliers46c498$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.0889850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Knicks22c483.8$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.373740.5%15 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Cavaliers27c481.17$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.851,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0310…4745backed Cavaliers77c481$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.375147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Knicks24c479.71$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.765332.1%17 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe80f…b81bbacked Cavaliers78c469.23$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3667562.7%47 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x260b…aa9ebacked Knicks73c458.1$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.431181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick52cpaid+55.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Knicks22c450$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35133748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Cavaliers78c405$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.943052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Knicks23c399.98$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.9846426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Cavaliers49c385$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.1545251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ea…7f8dbacked Cavaliers22c379.43$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845145.1%23 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Cavaliers29c354.66$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8525150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Cavaliers29c354.66$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.856038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xe5bc…fee0backed Knicks23c346.36$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+208%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed Cavaliers32c340.56$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.984443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Knicks79c340$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.386437.5%24 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Cavaliers32c316.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1937652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Knicks64c307.69$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.9346959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks22c303.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.6366352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Knicks23c300$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23117148%82 W · 89 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Cavaliers7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219139.6%36 W · 55 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Cavaliers17c299.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5165762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd13e…f2d6backed Cavaliers78c256.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Cavaliers27c249.47$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3715648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Knicks21c238$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.026851.5%35 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Cavaliers25c231$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.251,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Cavaliers35c218.79$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5760250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Knicks23c217.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.3925850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Cavaliers29c213.79$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Knicks24c208.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.3346346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Cavaliers43c200.54$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.125554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.