TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,052
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,323

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,052 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xce0f…07a3backed Yes44c456$200 inLost-$2001050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+31.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Yes46c433.64$200 inLost-$2007441.9%31 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No51c299.8$153 inWon+$147.2542842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No53c219.38$116 inWon+$103.1179650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No58c124.39$72 inWon+$5285449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e79…10c0backed No63c115.08$72 inWon+$43.082378.3%18 W · 5 L+5.0wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+38.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked No51c111.45$57 inWon+$54.6933049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Yes49c88$43 inLost-$42.6920558.5%120 W · 85 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No53c84$45 inWon+$39.4830842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes19c60.47$11 inLost-$11.2453842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No54c60$32 inWon+$27.643752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd755…61a1backed Yes37c55$20 inLost-$20.354037.5%15 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes76c52.8$40 inLost-$4011232.1%36 W · 76 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62f6…ef41backed Yes41c48.78$20 inLost-$201747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed No59c47.65$28 inWon+$19.5419959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb700…224abacked Yes49c43.41$21 inLost-$21.162450%12 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Yes39c43.18$17 inLost-$16.8411852.5%62 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7894…7b9dbacked No59c43$25 inWon+$17.639245.7%42 W · 50 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed No60c33.33$20 inWon+$13.3366046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No59c29.29$17 inWon+$12.011,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3b…531fbacked No61c24.59$15 inWon+$9.592937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf92e…d539backed Yes50c20$10 inLost-$102766.7%18 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+51.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.