TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$283,423
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$295,842

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $283,423 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Cavaliers49c113,600$55,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,684.745940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Knicks52c77,686$40,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,297.3385742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Cavaliers47c25,471$11,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,971.5810459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Knicks60c21,571$12,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,696.519246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Knicks52c15,459$8,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,366.0455251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed Cavaliers48c15,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,199.981030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Cavaliers48c14,553$6,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,985.3659347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Knicks52c12,854$6,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,202.2372648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks46c8,711$3,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,728.288,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Knicks52c7,300$3,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,504.051764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+47.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Knicks45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7502,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Knicks53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35012741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Knicks53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35089853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Cavaliers48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4004465.9%29 W · 15 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks54c4,818$2,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,217.1764948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Knicks52c4,808$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,307.697963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Cavaliers48c4,731$2,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,270.72,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Cavaliers48c4,379$2,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,101.9256843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Knicks53c4,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,90043438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Knicks53c4,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.9765939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers49c3,626$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,760.771,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Knicks52c3,567$1,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,712.314050%20 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Knicks53c3,503$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.071,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Knicks51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47010248%49 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks62c2,800$1,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05242842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Knicks53c2,500$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.9923742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Knicks52c2,431$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.3549249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers48c2,230$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.634,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Knicks52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96043352.2%226 W · 207 L+19.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe062…f949backed Knicks52c1,890$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.121662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+40.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Cavaliers48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Knicks53c1,415$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.0920247.5%96 W · 106 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Cavaliers48c1,370$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.3911440.4%46 W · 68 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Cavaliers48c1,323$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.7366352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Cavaliers48c1,285$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6173652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Cavaliers48c1,250$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60022349.8%111 W · 112 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Knicks53c1,200$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.9968944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3fa…07c5backed Cavaliers47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Cavaliers3c1,008$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.321,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Knicks78c1,000$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22436243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Knicks53c947$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.0925651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Knicks53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.418748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc153…6767backed Cavaliers3c833.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252532%8 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Cavaliers48c790.45$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.8660049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers48c777.24$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.7169848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Cavaliers48c737.31$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.918744.8%39 W · 48 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-17.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks61c731.05$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.5353842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Knicks52c692.13$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.2214148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Knicks73c684.73$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.7352461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1252…e6e0backed Knicks53c660.38$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.384949%24 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Knicks46c631.96$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.3421147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Knicks52c584$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.329845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x927a…f706backed Knicks52c555.94$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.8524139%94 W · 147 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Cavaliers47c545.32$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.841,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Knicks51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24546426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Cavaliers29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14540952.1%213 W · 196 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Cavaliers46c497.26$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.743537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid+58.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7bbb…4a56backed Knicks52c482.69$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.693447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks77c474.98$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.11,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Cavaliers50c464.44$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.222,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Cavaliers48c452.82$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.3580653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e84…768ebacked Knicks52c438.46$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.4613644.9%61 W · 75 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Cavaliers47c436$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.9262744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…9a2bbacked Cavaliers49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1968052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9b…3de2backed Cavaliers47c371.42$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.57742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed Knicks54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3714727.9%41 W · 106 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef5a…492abacked Knicks52c351.17$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.561369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Cavaliers48c342.69$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.4915759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks52c328.94$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.8952150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3088…2391backed Knicks52c325$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1563256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Knicks52c325$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15610750.5%54 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ad8…b8dbbacked Knicks52c325$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1562272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+42.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Knicks62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5846959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Cavaliers5c321.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4925045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Knicks53c320$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.449852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Cavaliers48c307.69$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.691,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1955…5ffebacked Knicks52c307.48$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.593100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+111.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2099…4a6fbacked Knicks52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1443151.6%16 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Knicks51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14725559.2%151 W · 104 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers48c289.92$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.166,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ab…8432backed Knicks52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.465446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x332e…df71backed Cavaliers49c286.92$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.595048%24 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97a1…d1eebacked Knicks52c286.54$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.542369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+36.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Cavaliers8c260$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.86437.5%24 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd5…bf27backed Knicks53c254$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.385759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Knicks53c239.83$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7286641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6195…388abacked Knicks53c238$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.865756.1%32 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Knicks52c233$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.1689850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Knicks52c228$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.4422351.6%115 W · 108 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd16e…c43ebacked Cavaliers48c205.17$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.48955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Knicks46c199.83$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.8817946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24d0…5e4cbacked Cavaliers48c198.13$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Knicks51c196$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.042,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ba7…f489backed Knicks52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Cavaliers34c191.27$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0332045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Knicks53c189$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.831,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Knicks45c168.24$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.5314347.6%68 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a0d…82c9backed Knicks53c164$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.086949.3%34 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Knicks53c164$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0836153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…d3fdbacked Knicks53c164$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.081172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.