TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$251,772
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$264,929

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,772 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfea3…d227backed Cavaliers62c56,133$34,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,985.6715644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Cavaliers47c42,969$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00016846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Knicks54c33,187$17,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,295.341,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Cavaliers45c22,000$9,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,9004148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Knicks55c20,000$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,00028056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks39c18,752$7,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,374.6664948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Knicks55c11,097$6,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,013.3918651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers48c10,747$5,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,144.5369848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks39c10,000$3,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,131.4525352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Knicks37c10,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,30048343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Cavaliers63c10,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,3001,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Knicks38c6,498$2,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,020.282,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers61c6,356$3,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,885.116,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Knicks38c5,999$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,719.383116.1%5 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-58.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Knicks37c5,360$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,360.189725.8%25 W · 72 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks48c4,787$2,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,502.381,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Cavaliers8c4,027$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.1627937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Knicks47c3,625$1,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,933.3317042.4%72 W · 98 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Knicks38c3,289$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.0718445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Cavaliers62c3,225$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.525657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa538…12c3backed Knicks37c3,000$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8902975.9%22 W · 7 L+7.1wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.4%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Knicks37c3,000$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,89018044.4%80 W · 100 L+15.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked Cavaliers60c3,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8003540%14 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Knicks38c3,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.9410049%49 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Knicks38c2,759$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,712.9517249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Knicks53c2,500$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.151,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers41c2,332$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.388,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks49c2,302$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.331,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Cavaliers62c2,210$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3703652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Cavaliers55c2,184$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.961,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Knicks37c2,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26043352.2%226 W · 207 L+19.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Cavaliers54c1,666$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.7563746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4e0…ffbebacked Cavaliers55c1,662$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.333246.9%15 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers4c1,629$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.412,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Knicks39c1,600$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.977349.3%36 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Cavaliers55c1,584$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.7590650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Cavaliers48c1,567$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.6255251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Knicks37c1,500$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.9750346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Knicks37c1,500$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.9412741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78a2…9d46backed Cavaliers61c1,446$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8886662.1%41 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Cavaliers60c1,228$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.8752150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc119…0162backed Knicks55c1,066$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.591921.1%4 W · 15 L-5.6wins-0.29per pick50cpaid-61.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Knicks33c1,000$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6707950.6%40 W · 39 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc04…1c43backed Cavaliers63c952.38$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010548.6%51 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Knicks56c893.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.0752461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x880e…54edbacked Knicks39c883.7$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.77458.1%43 W · 31 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Knicks38c789.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.475332.1%17 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Cavaliers52c771.51$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.6632045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Knicks61c750$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.96437.5%24 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks45c701.14$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.6342842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers62c700.01$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.211,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Knicks37c700$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43946426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6322…ab7fbacked Knicks38c686.76$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.79540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x246d…c74dbacked Knicks38c618.62$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.621952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf8f…8bbabacked Cavaliers16c600.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.088027.5%22 W · 58 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid+10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Cavaliers62c540.38$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.6860049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Cavaliers61c540.1$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.881,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Knicks38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3215246.7%71 W · 81 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5ef…a6aabacked Knicks38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.325238.5%20 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x598a…1bdfbacked Knicks38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.321546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Knicks38c521.05$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.0529040.3%117 W · 173 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Knicks38c512.68$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.865743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Cavaliers54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2702,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xace2…8fe6backed Cavaliers62c480.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd2…1d66backed Knicks40c464.65$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.791457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+42.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Knicks37c426$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.3856843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bcc…13c3backed Knicks40c407.33$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.45151%26 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Cavaliers8c402.69$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.223237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Knicks38c400$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2484156.1%23 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec6d…804bbacked Knicks38c394.74$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.748655.8%48 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a15…e238backed Knicks41c368.23$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.237950.6%40 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0c3…0230backed Knicks40c357.83$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.77545.3%34 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Knicks62c344.77$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.7711258.9%66 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Knicks76c341.99$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2745445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Cavaliers60c333.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9914148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd119…28abbacked Cavaliers63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Cavaliers35c283.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10061151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Cavaliers43c280.18$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.525554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Knicks38c278.92$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.934560%27 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce00…7d1dbacked Knicks37c269.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.445860.3%35 W · 23 L+8.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+28.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Knicks38c227.56$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.098846.6%41 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3921…db37backed Knicks39c220.51$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.516643.9%29 W · 37 L+8.1wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+40.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Cavaliers62c209.68$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13018853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f31…a362backed Knicks53c192.75$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.59785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+49.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf35e…f846backed Knicks39c187.62$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.457356.2%41 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Cavaliers52c185$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1489850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Knicks55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8295452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Cavaliers61c169.08$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.611,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Knicks38c156.98$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.7115759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed Cavaliers46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6916251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Knicks39c148.72$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.726346%29 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Knicks38c140$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.856348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d6…411cbacked Knicks39c139.54$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.12714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-63.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xea47…d64bbacked Knicks39c134.53$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.064052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86df…2cacbacked Knicks38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.58955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf82f…d3f2backed Knicks39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.21683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick47cpaid+77.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe803…0416backed Knicks39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.21666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+36.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Knicks39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2125850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks37c124.45$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.4166352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Cavaliers63c123.39$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7336247.5%172 W · 190 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.