TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6322…ab7f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 51 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.53
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$129
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Norway vs. England: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.74
France vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.65
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.92
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.04
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$288
Colombia leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$392.37
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+213.3%+$282.92
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$987Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$422.8
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.3
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$215.85
All 18 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.32
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: Gen.G vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions - Game 2 Winnerbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+395.1%+$188.1
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$57.43
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$86.18
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+134.9%+$260.47
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.96
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$127.02
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.3
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.48
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+121.2%+$117.26
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$540.09
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$484.63
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$425.79
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$596.3
All 5 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-66.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.