Fifa International · resolved market
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57908f8c4f3aa8033927b116b889270681ceceb24a7167005b80a5ea2d7f3649
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $284,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 382 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Yes | 29c | 43,243$12,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,824.91 | 239 | 42.3%101 W · 138 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 71c | 23,021$16,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,345.17 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 71c | 22,210$15,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,768.78 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 72c | 19,953$14,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,391.27 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Yes | 28c | 14,268$3,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,273.16 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 71c | 10,000$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,099.99 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…1956backed Yes | 32c | 9,455$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,455.05 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 70c | 7,880$5,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,540.33 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed No | 72c | 7,279$5,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,241.19 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 36c | 6,307$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.91 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked No | 70c | 5,399$3,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,779.06 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3a…55babacked No | 42c | 5,196$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.37 | 150 | 44%66 W · 84 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 71c | 4,716$3,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,358.76 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa608…1b35backed Yes | 30c | 4,167$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,916.67 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 72c | 4,150$2,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,967.96 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 70c | 4,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.99 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,839.82 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed Yes | 29c | 3,610$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,564.08 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…f99bbacked Yes | 73c | 3,425$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.66 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…2e34backed Yes | 30c | 3,318$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,318.25 | 274 | 33.9%93 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 27c | 3,267$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.33 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8e…c2bbbacked Yes | 47c | 3,089$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.03 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a4…097fbacked Yes | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.3 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f4…49afbacked No | 71c | 2,896$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.89 | 190 | 37.4%71 W · 119 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 68c | 2,769$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.99 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed No | 69c | 2,594$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.64 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Yes | 29c | 2,277$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.87 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 37c | 2,101$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.25 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 67c | 2,052$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.11 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Yes | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c04…03febacked Yes | 29c | 1,752$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.25 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Yes | 29c | 1,725$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.98 | 379 | 55.7%211 W · 168 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Yes | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.14 | 214 | 42.5%91 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Yes | 70c | 1,724$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.01 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…c003backed Yes | 29c | 1,700$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Yes | 27c | 1,500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.99 | 176 | 25%44 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.91 | 165 | 64.2%106 W · 59 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d4…2983backed Yes | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.88 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…a0d9backed Yes | 65c | 1,448$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.2 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…5053backed No | 73c | 1,363$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.85 | 201 | 49.3%99 W · 102 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 68c | 1,330$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.87 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 31c | 1,292$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.26 | 251 | 24.7%62 W · 189 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 70c | 1,290$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.01 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…9e9ebacked No | 73c | 1,279$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.65 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5df…0f22backed No | 73c | 1,207$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.03 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Yes | 29c | 1,206$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.03 | 141 | 34.8%49 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 56c | 1,199$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.68 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…5e20backed Yes | 29c | 1,198$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.95 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 28c | 1,196$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.19 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed No | 29c | 1,120$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.94 | 469 | 39.4%185 W · 284 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 72c | 1,100$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.99 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.48 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7264…8121backed Yes | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.48 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 29c | 1,022$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.45 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8baa…f299backed Yes | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.99 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…e21bbacked No | 69c | 999.97$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.98 | 268 | 36.9%99 W · 169 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 27c | 999.97$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.97 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 69c | 999$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.31 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed No | 49c | 975.41$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.95 | 172 | 41.3%71 W · 101 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Yes | 29c | 967.6$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.6 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 72c | 948$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.56 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…4fe3backed Yes | 28c | 892.86$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.86 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes | 34c | 882.65$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.65 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0715…c532backed Yes | 29c | 800$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7306…abe8backed Yes | 28c | 763.1$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…be88backed Yes | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccba…4e3cbacked Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…1540backed Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…352fbacked Yes | 32c | 659.23$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.23 | 164 | 41.5%68 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 74c | 644.95$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.36 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…b7cdbacked Yes | 29c | 620.68$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.68 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Yes | 58c | 612.88$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.72 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Yes | 65c | 612.75$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.46 | 161 | 65.8%106 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc54…db0ebacked Yes | 73c | 612.23$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.28 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…a076backed No | 72c | 603.17$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x074f…0818backed No | 46c | 595.65$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 58c | 592.33$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.39 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…0201backed No | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb349…d14bbacked Yes | 29c | 576.03$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.34 | 276 | 37.7%104 W · 172 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Yes | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.24 | 226 | 43.4%98 W · 128 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked No | 37c | 507.76$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.85 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0627…f26dbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed No | 73c | 473.32$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked No | 73c | 455.53$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.54 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Yes | 34c | 417.65$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.65 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6322…ab7fbacked Yes | 32c | 415.56$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.92 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed No | 74c | 406.46$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed No | 42c | 400$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.64 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -16.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 152 | 25.7%39 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…e1d9backed Yes | 76c | 395.76$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.76 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd8…141dbacked No | 51c | 391.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.43 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…ddbabacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…27ccbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x094c…c7a7backed Yes | 28c | 351.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.95 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 26c | 346.82$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.65 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…239dbacked Yes | 73c | 345.26$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.28 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d20…d646backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea4…106ebacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…9a3ebacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 300 | 32.3%97 W · 203 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 49 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsthis page
- Bernardo Silva: 1+ assistsNo won
- Bernardo Silva: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bernardo Silva: 3+ goalsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assistsYes won
- Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 1+ shotsYes won
- Bruno Fernandes: 2+ assistsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 2+ goalsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 3+ goalsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 3+ shotsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsYes won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ assistsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Francisco Conceição: 1+ assistsNo won
- Francisco Conceição: 1+ goalsNo won
- Francisco Conceição: 3+ goalsNo won
- Francisco Conceição: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Gonçalo Guedes: 3+ goalsNo won
- Gonçalo Guedes: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Gonçalo Ramos: 1+ goalsNo won
- Gonçalo Ramos: 3+ goalsNo won
- Gonçalo Ramos: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- João Félix: 1+ assistsNo won
- João Félix: 1+ goalsNo won
- João Félix: 2+ assistsNo won
- João Félix: 2+ goalsNo won
- João Félix: 2+ shotsYes won
- João Félix: 3+ goalsNo won
- João Félix: 3+ shotsYes won
- João Félix: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Pedro Neto: 1+ assistsNo won
- Pedro Neto: 1+ goalsNo won
- Pedro Neto: 2+ assistsNo won
- Pedro Neto: 3+ goalsNo won
- Pedro Neto: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Rafael Leão: 1+ goalsYes won
- Rafael Leão: 3+ goalsNo won
- Rafael Leão: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Rúben Neves: 1+ goalsNo won
- Rúben Neves: 2+ goalsNo won
- Rúben Neves: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Samu Costa: 3+ goalsNo won
- Samu Costa: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Trincão: 3+ goalsNo won
- Trincão: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.