TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$169,534
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$171,250

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,534 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes47c18,771$8,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,831.444,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes10c18,660$1,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,834.2936123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x703b…1956backed Yes11c17,442$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-50.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No44c11,819$5,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,677.2925038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked No45c7,409$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,109.3613163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e3a…55babacked No66c6,195$4,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,111.9615044%66 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed No33c5,970$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,999.9814856.8%84 W · 64 L+20.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+59.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No56c5,604$3,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,451.2174752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No46c5,391$2,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,894.5618848.9%92 W · 96 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes25c2,435$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.9465948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…6049backed Yes10c2,060$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20611316.8%19 W · 94 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Yes7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14023427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41f3…85cabacked Yes39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.992532%8 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2740…8973backed Yes10c1,880$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc790…cbd2backed Yes56c1,801$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.33839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x45dd…7181backed Yes56c1,786$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004040%16 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3a4…097fbacked Yes56c1,779$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.7810045%45 W · 55 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60f7…b68abacked Yes58c1,721$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x056e…14afbacked Yes12c1,711$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009214.1%13 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes35c1,601$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56013843.5%60 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6325…cfaabacked No51c1,518$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.419555.8%53 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe085…5474backed Yes10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-53.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5537…acc3backed Yes10c1,403$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No78c1,292$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.432,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5901…63a2backed Yes60c1,220$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.147538.7%29 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Yes16c1,209$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18960821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0627…f26dbacked Yes10c1,200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1207532%24 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes26c1,007$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.838,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes14c1,005$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.72,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae4…273ebacked Yes35c1,000$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.49354.8%51 W · 42 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2461…f240backed Yes16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16014445.8%66 W · 78 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0be…9164backed Yes10c955$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-56.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e6d…b276backed Yes32c953.24$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.47832.1%25 W · 53 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No63c879.03$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.342,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43bb…26dbbacked Yes32c878$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.124759.6%28 W · 19 L+10.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+70.6%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200997.1%7 W · 92 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x933f…1540backed No76c748.23$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.193158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes51c715.86$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.481,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ff…5b03backed Yes9c653.4$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.812313%3 W · 20 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-77.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed No55c599.98$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.9923251.7%120 W · 112 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd87…0ed7backed No33c596.97$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.971866.7%12 W · 6 L+4.2wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+67.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8f49…9178backed Yes10c592.2$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.224626.1%12 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd421…191cbacked Yes32c590.37$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.7613922.3%31 W · 108 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85a8…ed2bbacked Yes10c556.8$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.68119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-54.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012839.1%50 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed79…1e49backed Yes9c511.41$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.036434.4%22 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed No54c502.23$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.574470.5%31 W · 13 L+10.8wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+67.2%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0xef7a…1c34backed No69c500$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.553450%17 W · 17 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1402…4853backed No80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10015317%26 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a23…a980backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.39per pick21cpaid+420.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xddec…0015backed No60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed No59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2054738.3%18 W · 29 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0915…5882backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd469…cb79backed Yes9c473.67$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.63100%0 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed Yes43c453.84$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1959349.5%46 W · 47 L+8.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d92…4c7abacked Yes11c447.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018736.4%68 W · 119 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91e7…8c47backed No74c403.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.753256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ce…7199backed Yes12c402.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504341.9%18 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Yes9c400$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3627637.7%104 W · 172 L+15.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Yes10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4029138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb417…6d8fbacked Yes26c386$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.97342.5%31 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd91e…a433backed Yes16c383.6$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6016739.5%66 W · 101 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a3c…2db9backed No53c375.02$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.763616.7%6 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4c9…8803backed Yes34c372.24$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.5611717.1%20 W · 97 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8963…de64backed No68c364.62$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.758838.6%34 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66c2…85f4backed Yes28c359.77$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.522646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a34…c216backed Yes10c350$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358731%27 W · 60 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-35.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4753…41adbacked No46c329.66$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.465969.5%41 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe153…ba59backed No60c325.99$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.41855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x077c…98abbacked Yes56c309.11$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17319553.3%104 W · 91 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4efc…0d69backed Yes46c304.35$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc219…02ecbacked Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…2af9backed Yes33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997955.7%44 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f68…3e9cbacked Yes52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1563250%16 W · 16 L+6.6wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+51.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x935d…72f4backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011949.6%59 W · 60 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x776a…5349backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306026.7%16 W · 44 L+0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0d8…0a00backed No33c291.45$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.272751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24b0…6232backed Yes60c288.05$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.833447.1%16 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+31.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xec5c…4526backed Yes22c287.68$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5468.7%4 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-66.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a81…a925backed Yes35c287.28$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.311118.2%2 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes54c281.07$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1527058.6%41 W · 29 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce00…7d1dbacked Yes56c268.04$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022643.4%98 W · 128 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes45c251.79$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.661,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27b3…3a7cbacked Yes10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-48.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86c8…1fc7backed Yes4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010536.2%38 W · 67 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5425…d3e8backed Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015127.8%42 W · 109 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb28…3694backed Yes54c249.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9917950.3%90 W · 89 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ce7…432fbacked Yes56c249.68$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.822147.6%10 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6854…859dbacked Yes8c244.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.55520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+100%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked No40c235.06$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.047040%28 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9330…b993backed Yes38c232$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.827138%27 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9278…9a1bbacked Yes54c220.93$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12015453.9%83 W · 71 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c73…e2ebbacked Yes14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303026.7%8 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb413…adc3backed Yes10c210$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213231.3%10 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…d6fabacked No48c209.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.376741.8%28 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd72…5a5bbacked Yes14c203.82$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.491723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-50.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8a2…54c2backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc767…1490backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcd…9293backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013531.9%43 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 49 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.