TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0362…2af9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
797
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT55750.4%281 W · 276 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 557 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.15
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+35%+$51.37
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$17.18
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Team Heretics Academy - Game 4 Winnerbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.99
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Team Heretics Academy - Game 3 Winnerbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14.39
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.6
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.8
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$24.52
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$20.62
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+121.9%+$108.25
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.4
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$46.9
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$12.74
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+191.3%+$68.53
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.19
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$178
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Showing 25 of 557 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT13556.3%76 W · 59 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 135 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$9.86
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$120
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.7
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+133.9%+$57.37
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.04
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$129.3
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+120.6%+$164
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$41.99
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winnerbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winnerbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.24
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 1 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$79.5
Showing 25 of 135 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT7955.7%44 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
France vs. Spain: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Norway vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
France vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
France vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$35.99
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-52.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$516.82
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+160.4%+$123.2
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$284
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.77
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.15
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$39
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.7
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$159.72
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$11.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-55.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 25+ times during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'The Romantic' debut week album sales be between 150k and 200k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.