TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRGof NRG, BIG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$577,667
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$662,853

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $577,667 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 484 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed BIG54c25,117$13,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,493.151,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed NRG36c18,818$6,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,125.9833343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked BIG68c17,076$11,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,570.3776058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked NRG56c15,636$8,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,880.523,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed NRG48c13,771$6,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,108.294,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6373…a0b7backed NRG18c11,391$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,390.844526.7%12 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd3…6c9abacked NRG34c11,276$3,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,406.981471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+40.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked NRG36c10,820$3,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,890.3636453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked BIG41c9,878$4,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,053.979248.9%45 W · 47 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed BIG64c9,396$6,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,013.212653.2%67 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed NRG32c8,039$2,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,466.711439.5%45 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed NRG43c5,883$2,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,350.319746.4%45 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80a6…a3e0backed BIG68c5,050$3,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4342454.2%13 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed BIG65c5,000$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,249.9837157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed NRG34c5,000$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.9178639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed NRG33c4,929$1,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,292.757450%37 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked NRG58c4,829$2,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,028.321,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked BIG65c4,786$3,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,110.8725655.1%141 W · 115 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked BIG68c4,500$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,06027658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed NRG48c4,142$1,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,147.9510056%56 W · 44 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked BIG51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.9912956.6%73 W · 56 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed BIG59c3,577$2,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,103.6488746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed BIG64c3,500$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.9966851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked NRG51c3,165$1,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,543.942,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed NRG33c3,100$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,07725248.8%123 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked NRG41c3,077$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,824.2510635.8%38 W · 68 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fa0…253cbacked BIG67c3,046$2,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040.911656.9%66 W · 50 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed NRG40c3,008$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,804.9519949.7%99 W · 100 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NRG55c2,712$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.056,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked BIG47c2,471$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.431,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed NRG51c2,169$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.811,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed NRG49c2,028$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.8320448.5%99 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked NRG30c2,012$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.922129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked NRG45c2,000$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.72,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed BIG26c2,000$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51532136.8%118 W · 203 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbbb…ae06backed BIG52c2,000$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.311216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-68.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed BIG67c2,000$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.373863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a9e…1997backed BIG67c1,949$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.821283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+39.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed NRG48c1,943$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.2418442.9%79 W · 105 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked BIG63c1,940$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.161,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed BIG64c1,912$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.3438868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed NRG40c1,908$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.9796545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked NRG41c1,826$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.623,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked NRG33c1,735$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.131,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed BIG67c1,577$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.4345058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba06…8024backed BIG64c1,552$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.23661.1%22 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9a…91e1backed NRG65c1,532$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.45250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed BIG66c1,500$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99051252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd528…a2d2backed BIG54c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81018056.7%102 W · 78 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked NRG39c1,486$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.2444957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked BIG67c1,470$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98553545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed NRG57c1,427$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.8378043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed BIG64c1,417$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90026075%195 W · 65 L+23.6wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x06a4…3ca7backed BIG54c1,409$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.583237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked NRG30c1,407$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.5621424.8%53 W · 161 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5593…2cd1backed NRG37c1,341$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.039256.5%52 W · 40 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed NRG43c1,308$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.232,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ff9…aa24backed BIG43c1,291$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.581931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x146c…b807backed BIG55c1,273$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70040048.8%195 W · 205 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed NRG59c1,271$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.1912043.3%52 W · 68 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed BIG67c1,252$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.9327961.3%171 W · 108 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BIG54c1,220$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.361,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked BIG60c1,214$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73035460.7%215 W · 139 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked NRG33c1,209$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.8325846.1%119 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd525…1815backed NRG35c1,168$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.23658.3%21 W · 15 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+36.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked BIG64c1,167$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.3317148%82 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked BIG63c1,128$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.035,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed NRG15c1,102$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.771926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid+147%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed NRG33c1,071$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.222,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2067…7350backed BIG66c1,061$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70027657.6%159 W · 117 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed NRG48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.6727950.2%140 W · 139 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed NRG32c1,019$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.0637145.6%169 W · 202 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8a5…26a1backed BIG73c1,019$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.6515749.7%78 W · 79 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d8e…b1c7backed BIG53c1,016$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.544551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc96…d916backed NRG35c1,013$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.2610333%34 W · 69 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a96…4e13backed BIG65c1,011$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.922358.7%131 W · 92 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed BIG62c1,005$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.141649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed BIG65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65053746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed NRG33c1,000$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67030340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed BIG62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62017460.3%105 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18e4…e2bbbacked NRG38c999.99$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.998562.4%53 W · 32 L+14.2wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed BIG53c999.96$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.062,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41bb…26e8backed BIG67c959.45$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.839254.3%50 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed BIG55c929.16$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.947641.6%198 W · 278 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed BIG60c922.1$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.151,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked BIG66c900$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59425651.2%131 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1c58…f3c7backed NRG44c880.03$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.892751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed NRG27c857$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.6132732.4%106 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe6f…b760backed BIG65c855.75$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.4231647.5%150 W · 166 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed BIG59c847.81$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029934.4%103 W · 196 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cf7…4b3abacked NRG54c835$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.7815646.8%73 W · 83 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked BIG68c826.5$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.0233457.8%193 W · 141 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed BIG52c800$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41648437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked NRG37c779.85$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.751,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0273…f081backed NRG33c776.99$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.5812433.9%42 W · 82 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed NRG31c765.53$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.4341716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked NRG44c761.79$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.317,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked BIG62c749.97$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.9842050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed NRG34c749.97$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.481,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked NRG46c749.6$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.81,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.