CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x387ab0e6940ac62af429c850f5fef969c23ebc53b03c847aa54d014c74ddc9ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 56c | 1,851$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.46 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Over | 44c | 1,674$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.88 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Over | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Over | 46c | 1,260$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.4 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 61c | 1,202$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.07 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 44c | 1,184$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.65 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 54c | 1,075$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.57 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 54c | 999.97$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a13…4d34backed Over | 45c | 969.2$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.06 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5020…36fcbacked Under | 56c | 762.93$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.24 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…4822backed Under | 70c | 717.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked Over | 46c | 701.97$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.21 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Over | 30c | 662.93$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.05 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0354…2913backed Under | 55c | 496.62$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.14 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 71c | 467.49$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.03 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…4be5backed Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 55c | 399.63$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.79 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 41c | 368.53$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.75 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 77c | 356.61$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.82 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 61c | 350.97$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.07 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 36c | 332.94$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.7 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 23c | 331.16$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…d4a1backed Over | 32c | 300.75$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.51 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 68c | 269.01$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.92 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 52c | 267.1$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Under | 67c | 249.98$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.49 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Over | 45c | 234.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.24 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed Over | 43c | 233.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 223.6$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.27 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 57c | 220.59$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.69 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked Under | 56c | 213.35$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 149 | 39.6%59 W · 90 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e9…bf34backed Over | 46c | 212.8$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.91 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…6dfdbacked Over | 45c | 181.36$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 32c | 159.51$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 57c | 153.06$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.47 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…c11dbacked Over | 60c | 101.8$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 55c | 99.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f21…8af5backed Under | 42c | 96.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 58c | 94.6$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 750 | 48.4%363 W · 387 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 41c | 93.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 455 | 38.2%174 W · 281 L | -29.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 44c | 90.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 39c | 90.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.01 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Under | 29c | 87.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 602 | 32.4%195 W · 407 L | -49.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 53c | 85.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 56c | 68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 504 | 56.5%285 W · 219 L | +17.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Over | 46c | 65.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…c38cbacked Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Over | 38c | 60.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 773 | 46.1%356 W · 417 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 39c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 493 | 42%207 W · 286 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Over | 45c | 59.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…84d0backed Over | 46c | 53.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6acb…3cd3backed Under | 57c | 53.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed Under | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdad…fb9ebacked Under | 57c | 44.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd62…a229backed Over | 46c | 43.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 32c | 41.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1369…565ebacked Over | 46c | 39.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299e…0cb3backed Under | 68c | 37.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…dc8bbacked Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 48c | 30.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7f…3543backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Over | 44c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 253 | 42.3%107 W · 146 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Over | 45c | 29.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 590 | 44.9%265 W · 325 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 54c | 27.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4faf…54d2backed Over | 41c | 26.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 47cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…28dabacked Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c49…c6c2backed Over | 49c | 26.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa889…ebcdbacked Under | 57c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dc66backed Under | 59c | 25.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…1528backed Under | 65c | 24.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…99b9backed Over | 61c | 21.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…bf5cbacked Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Under | 68c | 14.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1BIG won
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 1 WinnerBIG won
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-6.5) vs NRG (+6.5)NRG won
- Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)NRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.