TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BIGof NRG, BIG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$200,508
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$241,395

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,508 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed NRG32c15,555$4,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,977.5833343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked BIG68c12,057$8,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,858.6876058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed NRG22c9,993$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,213.291,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed BIG70c8,590$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,589.833359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed NRG41c7,506$3,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,049.064,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed NRG30c6,700$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9996225.8%16 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked BIG56c6,178$3,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,718.4812956.6%73 W · 56 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked NRG34c5,631$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,938.623,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked NRG31c5,225$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,63332542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked NRG27c4,306$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.541,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed NRG29c4,108$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.311439.5%45 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked BIG66c3,808$2,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.6144957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd528…a2d2backed BIG69c3,738$2,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.2518056.7%102 W · 78 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked BIG59c3,500$2,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4351,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked NRG39c3,348$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.8159839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked BIG69c3,195$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.4425655.1%141 W · 115 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x790e…b82dbacked BIG67c3,070$2,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.173262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked BIG61c3,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,17027658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed NRG31c2,611$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.5261034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed NRG33c2,554$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.045,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed NRG17c2,539$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.0688746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed NRG8c2,506$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.0641716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed BIG75c2,463$1,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.643863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed BIG59c2,440$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.48938.2%34 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked NRG35c2,399$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.811,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc96…d916backed NRG34c2,362$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.7810333%34 W · 69 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fa0…253cbacked BIG70c2,086$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.8911656.9%66 W · 50 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed BIG65c2,052$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.9615155%83 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed NRG30c1,957$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.0878639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed NRG35c1,656$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.572,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed NRG4c1,556$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709746.4%45 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d2b…afc5backed NRG35c1,501$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.6319659.2%116 W · 80 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed BIG69c1,500$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.9951252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed NRG30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9949935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed NRG34c1,463$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9187047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked NRG4c1,249$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.151,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed BIG64c1,204$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.8527961.3%171 W · 108 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked NRG36c1,169$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.351,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked BIG68c1,057$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.685,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked BIG76c1,030$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.124,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06a4…3ca7backed BIG60c1,012$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.863237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NRG5c1,005$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.255,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed NRG19c1,000$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.732,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked NRG30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022447.8%107 W · 117 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed NRG30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30037145.6%169 W · 202 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked NRG40c999.21$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.062,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e8e…f9b2backed NRG44c888.05$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.749248.9%45 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed BIG70c857.14$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1435953.2%191 W · 168 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed NRG28c856.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9632732.4%106 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6041…3326backed BIG70c841.71$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.5115756.1%88 W · 69 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8e…c29ebacked BIG61c824.75$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.7528143.8%123 W · 158 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed BIG58c799.99$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.9945058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed NRG38c768.59$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.051,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d7e…3248backed NRG20c750$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011928.6%34 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked BIG69c740$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.422266.7%148 W · 74 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed NRG2c723.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4725416.9%43 W · 211 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked BIG58c700$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29494645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed BIG57c654.99$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.6550043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x525d…1f1bbacked NRG41c617.27$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010655.7%59 W · 47 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c55…03d7backed BIG60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2404946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed BIG57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25832346.1%149 W · 174 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed NRG31c567.13$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.8126650.8%135 W · 131 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed BIG68c563.88$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.4417460.3%105 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed NRG9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027831.7%88 W · 190 L-1.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d8e…b1c7backed BIG58c551.86$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.864551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0354…2913backed BIG68c504.99$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.613540.7%55 W · 80 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked BIG70c504.29$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.2935460.7%215 W · 139 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked BIG74c501.01$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.112,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed BIG60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.1445646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked BIG70c500$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.865650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked BIG66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17058254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb517…06ddbacked BIG67c499.98$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.996266.1%41 W · 21 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed NRG31c499.97$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.991,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked NRG36c489.58$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.732,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked NRG37c465.44$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.0540253.7%216 W · 186 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed NRG26c455.03$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.141848.8%204 W · 214 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca82…fcfebacked BIG71c447.3$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.714971.8%107 W · 42 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked NRG42c445$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.911644.8%52 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x851a…de17backed NRG36c439.24$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.29826.5%26 W · 72 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-51.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1aee…8796backed BIG58c432.34$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.5828254.6%154 W · 128 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed BIG78c429.77$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.082,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27b2…f882backed BIG69c422$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.824100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+67.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed NRG31c400.19$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.822,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed BIG69c399.99$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12499148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed BIG62c389.98$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.291,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf65f…0c27backed NRG7c357.57$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244833.3%16 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…5c4cbacked NRG28c357.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9413350.4%67 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed NRG32c355.73$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.61,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9e…102abacked BIG58c350$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1479757.7%56 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked BIG58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.834955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8154…7d37backed NRG31c342$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0210030%30 W · 70 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid+22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed BIG59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9898856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked NRG33c334.7$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4543640.6%177 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed NRG43c318.6$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13712038.3%46 W · 74 L-12.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-25.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed BIG64c312.35$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3596545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed NRG38c310.99$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.661,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked NRG27c310$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.984037.9%318 W · 522 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…2af9backed NRG28c300$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8513556.3%76 W · 59 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac78…83cdbacked NRG16c300$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-54.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c4…0734backed NRG33c299.98$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9918848.4%91 W · 97 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.