CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x609a0d6199dc729d2f25a33a09644bea3b90d3156330a812f6c3801e152a1bc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof BIG, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked NRG | 57c | 30,000$17,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,899.97 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40e…9770backed BIG | 43c | 15,821$6,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,803 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed BIG | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked BIG | 44c | 5,182$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280.3 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed NRG | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.07 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked NRG | 54c | 4,786$2,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.44 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked NRG | 47c | 4,061$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.6 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed BIG | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed NRG | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.99 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed NRG | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.98 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked NRG | 56c | 2,939$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.07 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked BIG | 41c | 2,683$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed NRG | 50c | 2,388$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.18 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed BIG | 50c | 1,947$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.4 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked BIG | 41c | 1,873$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.07 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked BIG | 45c | 1,758$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.85 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked NRG | 51c | 1,740$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.61 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed BIG | 43c | 1,700$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…02b5backed BIG | 46c | 1,630$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…b3a2backed BIG | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed NRG | 55c | 1,404$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.88 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…8d00backed BIG | 43c | 1,182$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.16 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked BIG | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed BIG | 45c | 1,112$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed BIG | 55c | 1,097$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 167 | 32.9%55 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4377…74c2backed NRG | 56c | 1,079$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.78 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -10.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xef15…74dabacked BIG | 44c | 1,027$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.36 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed NRG | 58c | 1,000$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.34 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed BIG | 46c | 1,000$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.19 | 182 | 54.9%100 W · 82 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed NRG | 56c | 999.98$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked BIG | 55c | 892.84$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked NRG | 57c | 887.99$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.84 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed NRG | 56c | 849.99$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.5 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed BIG | 45c | 800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 161 | 49.1%79 W · 82 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed BIG | 44c | 739.02$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.6 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732c…08dbbacked NRG | 57c | 729.29$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.48 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed BIG | 45c | 697.78$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 297 | 57.6%171 W · 126 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86af…f384backed BIG | 42c | 696.74$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.63 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed NRG | 54c | 665.07$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.93 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed BIG | 56c | 656.97$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.13 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked NRG | 57c | 632.78$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.1 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked BIG | 46c | 628.33$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.03 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed NRG | 56c | 622.69$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.98 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed BIG | 54c | 619.87$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.73 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked NRG | 57c | 599.99$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 206 | 43.7%90 W · 116 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x266a…3579backed BIG | 48c | 591.4$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.7 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked BIG | 46c | 521.74$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed NRG | 51c | 504.8$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.66 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed NRG | 60c | 500$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.06 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed NRG | 56c | 497.86$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.8 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…2cfbbacked BIG | 46c | 476.93$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.39 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed BIG | 45c | 475.32$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed BIG | 42c | 472.23$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.34 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed BIG | 44c | 468.07$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.63 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked NRG | 54c | 460$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.6 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed NRG | 57c | 437.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.27 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked BIG | 56c | 431.66$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.32 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed BIG | 53c | 431.25$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.5 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed NRG | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed NRG | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 262 | 51.1%134 W · 128 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb15f…aaaebacked NRG | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29db…19c3backed BIG | 46c | 398.15$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.15 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked BIG | 50c | 394.76$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.38 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked NRG | 58c | 389.2$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.46 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…9840backed NRG | 54c | 370$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 172 | 54.1%93 W · 79 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed BIG | 43c | 351.27$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed BIG | 40c | 348.67$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.47 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…e81abacked BIG | 45c | 342.2$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked NRG | 56c | 339.82$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.52 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed BIG | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed BIG | 53c | 276.13$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked BIG | 45c | 266.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…59a1backed BIG | 43c | 255.81$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 192 | 38%73 W · 119 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked BIG | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed BIG | 43c | 250$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.42 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked BIG | 41c | 240$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…64c3backed BIG | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed BIG | 46c | 221.87$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.66 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75b…ea01backed BIG | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed BIG | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed NRG | 47c | 204.7$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.08 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed NRG | 55c | 202.56$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.28 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked BIG | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed NRG | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb9…8d05backed BIG | 45c | 197.78$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked NRG | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 334 | 59%197 W · 137 L | +24.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5978…aec4backed BIG | 45c | 190$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 229 | 38%87 W · 142 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbee9…3143backed BIG | 50c | 177.22$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.61 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad3…4a42backed BIG | 45c | 164.44$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked BIG | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…43dcbacked BIG | 44c | 157$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.08 | 380 | 51.3%195 W · 185 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed BIG | 35c | 153.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 368 | 37.5%138 W · 230 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed BIG | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…ef53backed BIG | 45c | 141.07$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…736bbacked NRG | 65c | 138.58$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 118 | 66.1%78 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bda…7da1backed BIG | 46c | 127.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +129.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…48e0backed BIG | 44c | 125$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb85…f0a4backed NRG | 56c | 121.3$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb6…67edbacked BIG | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed NRG | 56c | 116.48$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1BIG won
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 1 WinnerBIG won
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-6.5) vs NRG (+6.5)NRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.