TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd752…85d4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
705
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT36837.5%138 W · 230 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 368 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Will Team Vitality Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.4
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$66
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$106
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$5,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,100
Map Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs MOUZ (+2.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.75
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$979.98
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$400
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$87
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$135
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Iowa Stormboar - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$78
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Showing 25 of 368 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT26833.6%90 W · 178 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 268 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Generali Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Mariano Navonebacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Generali Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$67.99
Croatia Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Croatia Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Iasi Open: Panna Udvardy vs Paula Badosabacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Croatia Open: Alex Molcan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
Rome: Danka Kovinic vs Julia Rierabacked Danka Kovinic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosabacked Alevtina Ibragimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Athens Open: Anna Blinkova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$444.99
Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.39
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$87
Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.6
Wimbledon WTA: Amanda Anisimova vs Madison Keysbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.52
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$76
Wimbledon WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 268 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$79
Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+185.7%+$64.99
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$73.67
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$197.84
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$47.5
Brevis FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,107.4
Will Zama launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+426.3%+$81
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$104.43
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$148
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$99.96
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$57.1
Harmonix FDV above $25M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,007.74
Harmonix FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$73.28
Will Almanak FDV above $80M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$108.4
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+127.3%+$56
Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+44.9%+$31
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$16.4
Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+81.8%+$225
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$14
Meteora FDV above $750M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1811.1%2 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-79.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,010
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+121%+$164.25
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.1
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.4
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$350
Spread: France (-3.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.7
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$29.25
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+127.3%+$56
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$84
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+58.7%+$58.73
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.