Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x675c07f32bd279457c2c45803982677c138c961f264884f4f2ff4b2848dab452
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,006,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,024,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,006,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 807 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde92…5e10backed Yes | 13c | 132,940$17,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,525.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741f…36d1backed Yes | 0c | 109,999$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…9cb3backed Yes | 17c | 84,963$14,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,485.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Yes | 25c | 52,993$13,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,128.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed No | 63c | 52,525$32,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,662.87 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…238cbacked No | 46c | 46,692$21,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,047.16 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 2c | 40,383$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.17 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Yes | 29c | 40,071$11,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,455.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Yes | 20c | 36,931$7,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,274.67 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 68c | 36,286$24,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,559.48 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…7361backed Yes | 3c | 34,958$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 83 | 2.4%2 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b91…e572backed Yes | 22c | 32,806$7,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,157.05 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b1…adeebacked Yes | 29c | 30,495$8,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,771.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked No | 79c | 30,010$23,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,290.99 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 68c | 30,000$20,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,520.55 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ed…09fcbacked Yes | 13c | 30,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1258…0c15backed Yes | 1c | 25,330$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.3 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed No | 80c | 24,578$19,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,029.69 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf985…2939backed Yes | 4c | 22,456$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad45…b8c9backed Yes | 2c | 21,214$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.13 | 93 | 7.5%7 W · 86 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc334…d01bbacked Yes | 2c | 20,919$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…e2bdbacked Yes | 26c | 20,585$5,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,440.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 3c | 20,445$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.78 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked No | 66c | 19,999$13,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,799.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d41…1a89backed Yes | 1c | 18,608$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca5…8727backed Yes | 6c | 18,000$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +280.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 3c | 16,695$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.12 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b4…d3e9backed Yes | 0c | 16,101$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…6e0fbacked No | 70c | 15,796$11,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,664.57 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +7.0wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…eec6backed Yes | 25c | 14,999$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749.8 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ca…a461backed Yes | 1c | 14,595$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.05 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…7586backed No | 43c | 14,403$6,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,269.53 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x663a…5c51backed Yes | 36c | 14,285$5,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,083.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 13,410$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 33c | 13,000$4,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,245 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…52c0backed Yes | 4c | 12,596$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.78 | 64 | 7.8%5 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 33c | 12,097$3,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,978.3 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 1c | 12,000$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.65 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a8…34f5backed Yes | 10c | 10,283$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca60…4d02backed No | 66c | 10,230$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…fd1bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,090$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 80 | 0%0 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe43…3e8dbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…9a18backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.12 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…db3dbacked Yes | 33c | 9,999$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…55cebacked Yes | 1c | 9,850$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.2 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…0a62backed Yes | 75c | 9,848$7,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,415 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e04…c004backed Yes | 1c | 9,637$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.41 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 6cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed Yes | 36c | 9,295$3,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,343.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 9,168$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.07 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a4…4e3cbacked Yes | 2c | 9,109$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.46 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4e…d609backed No | 27c | 9,002$2,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,595.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 1c | 8,630$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.21 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…524cbacked Yes | 2c | 8,264$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe35…bd42backed Yes | 5c | 8,196$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa117…a311backed Yes | 66c | 7,999$5,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,279.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5181…43a7backed Yes | 2c | 7,757$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb936…78d7backed Yes | 20c | 7,654$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a2…84f0backed Yes | 1c | 7,580$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…5b2bbacked Yes | 1c | 7,512$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.22 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed No | 77c | 7,473$5,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc476…bb56backed Yes | 3c | 7,428$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc66…83e1backed Yes | 24c | 7,231$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.66 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd130…2a3ebacked Yes | 3c | 7,121$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5412…f86fbacked Yes | 46c | 7,000$3,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,217.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfed…9980backed Yes | 1c | 6,995$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…e746backed Yes | 3c | 6,660$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 26c | 6,610$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.06 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd62a…5fefbacked Yes | 17c | 6,407$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…d824backed Yes | 28c | 5,980$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af7…2c4bbacked Yes | 40c | 5,967$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,394.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b6…720bbacked Yes | 8c | 5,712$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e77…c4f3backed No | 73c | 5,584$4,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.04 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…6321backed Yes | 9c | 5,566$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +173.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd575…d2d8backed Yes | 1c | 5,500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e0…8412backed Yes | 14c | 5,353$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 2c | 5,277$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 54 | 11.1%6 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe64e…2143backed Yes | 41c | 5,259$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.18 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068d…70d3backed Yes | 1c | 5,212$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 6cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86c1…d727backed Yes | 3c | 5,089$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Yes | 39c | 5,072$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b72…885ebacked Yes | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d2…05a8backed Yes | 1c | 4,993$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.33 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c86…bb78backed Yes | 2c | 4,710$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 4,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 73c | 4,420$3,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.08 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…b52dbacked Yes | 6c | 4,200$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x790e…76afbacked Yes | 9c | 4,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…8befbacked Yes | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7c…c08ebacked Yes | 21c | 3,916$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.34 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed No | 10c | 3,826$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,455 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4aa…8d91backed Yes | 36c | 3,790$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.39 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 22c | 3,684$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.42 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 28c | 3,493$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.09 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…f112backed No | 80c | 3,490$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.11 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…97a5backed Yes | 28c | 3,488$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.6 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea8c…ddecbacked Yes | 19c | 3,315$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -9.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 73c | 3,208$2,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.22 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd98b…a558backed Yes | 1c | 3,193$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,200 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,400 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,600 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,800 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,800 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,200 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,400 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,600 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.