Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $3,200 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe46b0d593ca2447539c4d60eb16a68e81446885779ccafadcb834a47fd4d9c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $193,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0d7…4543backed No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…73e0backed No | 0c | 17,113$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…1715backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…6e0fbacked Yes | 53c | 8,178$4,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,836.1 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +7.0wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…d91ebacked No | 72c | 4,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba51…ff35backed Yes | 58c | 3,980$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 48c | 3,944$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.64 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed No | 6c | 3,421$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.24 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a95…c43ebacked Yes | 31c | 3,022$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked No | 45c | 2,526$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.18 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 68c | 1,500$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes | 45c | 1,453$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.07 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 41c | 1,420$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.11 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x430a…ff11backed Yes | 47c | 1,321$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.58 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed No | 41c | 1,293$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.46 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…9890backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4f…7f8bbacked No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a13…12dbbacked No | 17c | 1,000$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c8…c1c9backed Yes | 58c | 999.97$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 15c | 999.66$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.95 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…d7c7backed Yes | 38c | 999.48$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.68 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…bb91backed Yes | 76c | 922.72$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.72 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…49f7backed No | 68c | 900$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked No | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65de…38f3backed Yes | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3a26backed No | 74c | 615$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.1 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 67c | 549.99$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.19 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes | 40c | 499.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.74 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Yes | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe24d…29cbbacked No | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…52e8backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +368.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc570…5557backed No | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d5…7a9fbacked Yes | 27c | 250$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 37c | 249.16$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.97 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 56c | 215.63$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.37 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked No | 29c | 191.17$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.56 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf475…ee8cbacked No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5651…66a6backed No | 72c | 171.01$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.13 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d33…4702backed Yes | 52c | 163.46$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed No | 48c | 163.46$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.46 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…20b5backed No | 63c | 155.76$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…eb35backed No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8db…ddfcbacked Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd98d…adb8backed Yes | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x926c…a86bbacked No | 75c | 120$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f6…2ad8backed Yes | 42c | 119.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 29c | 117.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +22.9wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +13.9wins | +0.20per pick | 29cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…fd21backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae7…9603backed No | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…ece7backed No | 75c | 86.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x179a…cb8cbacked Yes | 39c | 86.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +141.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…0424backed Yes | 75c | 79.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x737d…1f6bbacked No | 72c | 74.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -5.6wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…7ba1backed Yes | 39c | 64.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.37per pick | 36cpaid | +152.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x747b…f422backed Yes | 75c | 64.26$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b71…30aabacked Yes | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2179…f85abacked Yes | 73c | 59.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…29c6backed No | 37c | 59.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…8de4backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x546f…9657backed Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3629…44ccbacked Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.46per pick | 37cpaid | +316.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b94…6851backed Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f3…8516backed Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db8…3562backed Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9008…f3cebacked Yes | 28c | 48.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Yes | 61c | 46.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…c1a5backed No | 27c | 46.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…b5a5backed No | 62c | 44.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…32f3backed No | 62c | 43.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4723…93e2backed Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf47c…1c83backed Yes | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa0…7d62backed Yes | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45fe…6ff7backed Yes | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55cf…6cd0backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed1…dc95backed No | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13f…d2aabacked Yes | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29e7…19a3backed No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…4df5backed No | 73c | 39.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe638…a296backed No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca1…e1a9backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…1ac7backed No | 72c | 35.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 71cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…e1d3backed No | 47c | 34.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc555…38e7backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa25…19f3backed No | 46c | 31.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…e05fbacked No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86d6…4df0backed Yes | 58c | 30.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 52c | 30.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df0…a8b6backed No | 74c | 30.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4768…ffe8backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x683e…bd2dbacked No | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +6.0wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…8b32backed Yes | 47c | 29.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1125…2f2bbacked No | 74c | 29.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…661dbacked Yes | 58c | 29.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042f…f8a8backed No | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda24…85f3backed No | 74c | 26.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa1…e821backed Yes | 72c | 26.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec8…9696backed No | 74c | 23.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,200 in November?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,400 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,600 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,800 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,800 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,200 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,400 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,600 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.