TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x737d…1f6b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
122
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT3020%6 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.25
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.99
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jongbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.49
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensikbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+170.9%+$726.41
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$781Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$781.36
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,878Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,877.95
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+1,349.3%+$269.86
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+37%+$73.97
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$149.14
Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Women's: Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$33.85
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Iva Jovicbacked Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$109.12
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Men's: Marin Cilic vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Australian Open Men's: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Novak Djokovicbacked Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2630.8%8 W · 18 L-5.6wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-57.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+46.1%+$87.37
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$15.95
BNB all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$67.25
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150.6
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$787Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+36.6%+$288.01
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+59.1%+$99.73
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.6
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.7
Solana all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.11
Ethereum all time high by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$22.42
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Hyperliquid reach $50 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$12.75
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$197.76
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$37.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$400.93
Will Ethereum dip to $3,200 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$53.35
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$88.27
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.2
Ethereum all time high by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$4.74
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+44.5%+$17.8
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+178.6%+$80.38
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$199.33
Owlto FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.25
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,553Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,553.01
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$43.07
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,098Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+36.5%+$400.46
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$46.05
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$458.59
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,743Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+382.8%+$6,672.06
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,630Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$2,630.32
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$657Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$657.3
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$4,039.51
Lighter Airdrop on December 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$14.99
Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+40.9%+$8.18
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$77.43
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.45
Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$9.37
Hyperswap FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 19 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will CA River Plate win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2025-11-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+66.7%+$20
Will CA Independiente win on 2025-11-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+300%+$37.5
Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2025-11-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+270.4%+$73
Will CA River Plate vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba vs. CA San Martín de San Juan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Will CA Independiente win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$82.36
Will CA Independiente win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
Will CA Lanús win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+51.3%+$52.92
Will CA Independiente vs. CA Lanús end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$77
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-58.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
Nothing Ever Happens: Khameneibacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$105.75
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,421Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+27.3%+$387.83
Israel strikes Gaza by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.8
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+150%+$24
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+132%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-48.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$530
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$400
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,628Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$955.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.