Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5406ff31c795043fd539411a2b9e294e95214385ceebcc034e8fd2e8428782a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Djokovicof Musetti, Djokovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,189,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,431,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,189,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 773 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Musetti | 0c | 378,047$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.88 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Djokovic | 71c | 188,589$133,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,900.71 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Musetti | 29c | 128,013$36,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,902.96 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4032backed Djokovic | 72c | 90,257$64,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,272.07 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Musetti | 7c | 89,125$6,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,183.79 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Musetti | 45c | 79,236$35,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,676.43 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Musetti | 72c | 75,000$54,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,999.96 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Musetti | 29c | 66,372$19,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,247.78 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Djokovic | 72c | 64,000$46,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,920 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…13acbacked Djokovic | 72c | 53,147$38,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,898.8 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea2…fe7ebacked Musetti | 0c | 49,221$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.02 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Musetti | 28c | 45,200$12,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,655.99 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Djokovic | 29c | 42,769$12,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,190.81 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Djokovic | 56c | 41,402$23,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,402.19 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Musetti | 28c | 41,128$11,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,679.95 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…ca34backed Djokovic | 72c | 40,001$28,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,289.7 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…b9f0backed Musetti | 54c | 36,924$19,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,999 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Musetti | 57c | 35,784$20,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,419.57 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b4…13c9backed Djokovic | 32c | 31,562$9,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,566.34 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x048b…09efbacked Musetti | 30c | 25,067$7,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,514.02 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Musetti | 69c | 24,229$16,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,812.21 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Djokovic | 60c | 22,822$13,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,187.46 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Djokovic | 59c | 22,400$13,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,181.16 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Djokovic | 19c | 22,335$4,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,087.93 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Djokovic | 35c | 22,089$7,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,366.67 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…5095backed Musetti | 28c | 21,088$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Djokovic | 77c | 20,928$16,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,904.31 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Djokovic | 41c | 20,604$8,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,095.58 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed Djokovic | 72c | 20,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.99 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Musetti | 57c | 19,495$11,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,019.85 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Djokovic | 43c | 19,305$8,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,925.58 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…5394backed Djokovic | 64c | 18,802$12,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,703.3 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Djokovic | 47c | 18,345$8,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,711.01 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Musetti | 27c | 18,000$4,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,860 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Musetti | 41c | 17,646$7,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,188.43 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Djokovic | 23c | 16,961$3,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,065.39 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Djokovic | 51c | 15,648$7,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,651.93 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Musetti | 27c | 14,042$3,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,791.45 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Djokovic | 46c | 12,942$5,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,995.49 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…e0edbacked Musetti | 2c | 12,789$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.76 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Musetti | 3c | 12,078$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.03 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Musetti | 0c | 12,051$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Musetti | 53c | 12,000$6,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,360 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Musetti | 33c | 12,000$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,950 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Musetti | 57c | 11,792$6,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,727.95 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Djokovic | 72c | 11,653$8,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,262.71 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Musetti | 30c | 11,162$3,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,325.26 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb4…3214backed Djokovic | 47c | 10,000$4,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,253.18 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4314…dfccbacked Musetti | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Musetti | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Musetti | 55c | 9,745$5,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,366.67 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Djokovic | 60c | 9,459$5,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,778.94 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Djokovic | 50c | 9,356$4,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,640.43 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Musetti | 26c | 8,074$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.52 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Musetti | 70c | 7,845$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Musetti | 28c | 7,032$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.74 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Musetti | 55c | 7,000$3,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,872.49 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2b…920cbacked Musetti | 25c | 6,813$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Musetti | 27c | 6,571$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Musetti | 67c | 6,508$4,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,372.73 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Musetti | 26c | 6,189$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.06 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed87…0ba7backed Musetti | 80c | 6,164$4,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,910.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…126cbacked Musetti | 71c | 5,997$4,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,285.94 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Djokovic | 72c | 5,555$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Djokovic | 31c | 5,502$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,819.37 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Djokovic | 58c | 5,500$3,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324.98 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6141…ded2backed Djokovic | 73c | 5,395$3,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.11 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Musetti | 75c | 5,358$4,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,018.32 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Musetti | 28c | 5,339$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.95 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Musetti | 48c | 5,180$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.15 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Musetti | 1c | 5,179$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Djokovic | 48c | 5,010$2,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,614.12 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Musetti | 27c | 5,006$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.03 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Djokovic | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Musetti | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Djokovic | 38c | 4,944$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,089.21 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3905…82fcbacked Djokovic | 72c | 4,873$3,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.49 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Djokovic | 78c | 4,836$3,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.22 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…385bbacked Djokovic | 30c | 4,825$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,385.21 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Djokovic | 62c | 4,812$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.77 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Musetti | 15c | 4,810$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Musetti | 49c | 4,759$2,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332.06 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Musetti | 28c | 4,698$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.34 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…079fbacked Musetti | 32c | 4,689$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.79 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Musetti | 65c | 4,588$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Musetti | 28c | 4,335$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.89 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Djokovic | 71c | 4,313$3,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.63 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…5344backed Djokovic | 72c | 4,267$3,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Musetti | 28c | 4,197$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.95 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Musetti | 26c | 4,024$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.19 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Djokovic | 17c | 4,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,320.02 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Musetti | 62c | 3,879$2,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.09 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed Musetti | 77c | 3,856$2,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,972.35 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Musetti | 51c | 3,820$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.08 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…eb10backed Musetti | 28c | 3,720$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Musetti | 72c | 3,635$2,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,630.89 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Djokovic | 52c | 3,590$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.75 | 285 | 43.5%124 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Musetti | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 208 | 44.2%92 W · 116 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed Djokovic | 70c | 3,500$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Musetti | 29c | 3,500$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovicthis page
- Musetti vs. Djokovic: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Musetti vs. Djokovic: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Musetti vs DjokovicMusetti won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.