TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3ea2…fe7e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
155
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT3669.4%25 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick72cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Daniel Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.69
UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Christian Edwards (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Modestas Bukauskas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$13.85
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Malcolm Wellmaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bernardo Sopaj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
UFC Fight Night: Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Ignacio Bahamondes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.07
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Tyrell Fortune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.3
UFC Fight Night: Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Luke Riley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$28.62
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Michael Page · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$14.49
UFC Fight Night: Danny Silva vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Kurtis Campbell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Losene Keita · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Jose Miguel Delgado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$8.36
UFC 326: Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Cody Garbrandt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+25%+$4.8
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kavanagh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+45.2%+$9.25
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Dan Ige vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$12.25
UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Delija · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.2
UFC Fight Night: Josiah Harrell vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Jacobe Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+37%+$6.75
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Zachary Reese (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.8
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$6.6
UFC 325: Tuivasa vs. Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Teixeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$11.61
UFC 325: Elekana vs. Tafa (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Elekana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.16
UFC 325: Brundage vs. Rowston (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Rowston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Will the fight be won by submission?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.16
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+53.1%+$10.4
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT2572%18 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.32
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Miami Open, Qualification: Whitney Osuigwe vs Donna Vekicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Alex Michelsenbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.22
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Christopher O'Connell vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Christopher O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+31%+$6.68
Mexican Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$13.82
Pune: Alastair Gray vs Daniel Michalskibacked Gray · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+31.4%+$4.78
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Clara Tauson vs Jessica Pegulabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+34.6%+$24.23
New Delhi: Oliver Crawford vs Ilya Ivashkabacked Crawford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+28.7%+$30.76
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+25%+$14.52
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovicbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$99.02
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tienbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+27.1%+$12.8
Wawrinka vs. Fritz: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Australian Open Men's: Eliot Spizzirri vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+70.7%+$33.39
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$19.7
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$21.6
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 WTA Korea Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+68.2%+$42.3
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+49.6%+$34.7
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$46.67
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Taylor Fritzbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+50.5%+$68.19
US Open: Ben Shelton vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+203%+$81.21
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 25 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick73cpaid-29.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $70 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.19
Will Solana dip to $80 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 9-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+38.9%+$18.08
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 26-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 19-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 29-January 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$31.02
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.2%+$10.97
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$17.92
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$17.44
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$51.72
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$7.49
Will Bitcoin dip to $108,000 October 13-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $118,000 September 29-October 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Bitcoin dip to $110,000 September 15-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$15.56
Will Bitcoin reach $113K September 8–14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Will Dogecoin reach $0.18 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$17.14
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+29.5%+$13.28
All 19 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+33.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$39.12
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+318.2%+$85.26
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+68.5%+$24.4
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+46%+$15.22
Spread: Bills (-8.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$23.62
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$30.2
Buccaneers vs. Rams: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Spread: Rams (-6.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Scorigami in NFL Week 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$138
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick70cpaid+22.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Kings vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+37%+$8.4
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$18.47
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.05
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+26.6%+$10.63
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+25%+$15.14
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+25%+$8
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+44.9%+$9.95
Lakers vs. Hornetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+69.5%+$9.73
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid+6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.31
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$6.1
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+182.8%+$27.49
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.7
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$59.08
AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$27.03
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+25%+$8.55
Arsenal FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick75cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$12.48
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+58.4%+$27.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Round Pool B: USA vs. Italybacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$8.1
First Round Pool B: USA vs. Mexicobacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.35
Stanford Cardinal vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irishbacked Stanford Cardinal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+25%+$3.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.87
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$18.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+48.8%+$16.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Quarterfinals - USA vs. Swedenbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+35.1%+$8.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.