UFC · resolved market
UFC 326: Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long (Bantamweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecb0b3befe7e66f379f641a951ac5ad275708dd01f0f7c0aec8a00e38cf6cf59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cody Garbrandtof Cody Garbrandt, Xiao Long
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,157,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,157,229 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 568 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Xiao Long | 60c | 138,539$83,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,123.48 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Cody Garbrandt | 38c | 120,179$45,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,501.8 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Cody Garbrandt | 40c | 119,637$47,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,162.13 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Xiao Long | 62c | 116,278$71,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,614.03 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Cody Garbrandt | 40c | 85,143$34,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,824.75 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Xiao Long | 62c | 79,989$49,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,580.74 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Cody Garbrandt | 39c | 46,317$18,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,093.02 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Cody Garbrandt | 38c | 40,000$15,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,799.97 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Cody Garbrandt | 41c | 38,808$15,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,896.88 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Cody Garbrandt | 40c | 38,084$15,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,850.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Cody Garbrandt | 40c | 38,000$15,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,800.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Xiao Long | 76c | 33,710$25,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,673.5 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Cody Garbrandt | 52c | 31,018$16,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,987.04 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed Xiao Long | 59c | 27,537$16,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,240.35 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +45%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Xiao Long | 60c | 21,492$12,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,897.3 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Xiao Long | 62c | 21,320$13,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,218.4 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Xiao Long | 60c | 20,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Xiao Long | 62c | 20,000$12,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,399.99 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Cody Garbrandt | 63c | 19,102$12,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,994.23 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Xiao Long | 60c | 18,003$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,799.68 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd1…2df7backed Xiao Long | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Xiao Long | 58c | 15,000$8,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,699.96 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…afadbacked Xiao Long | 60c | 13,503$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,100.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718c…50eabacked Xiao Long | 56c | 11,784$6,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,564 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Xiao Long | 27c | 11,463$3,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,143.62 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Cody Garbrandt | 39c | 11,455$4,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,952.99 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Cody Garbrandt | 41c | 11,122$4,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,564.86 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Xiao Long | 56c | 11,000$6,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,109.98 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Xiao Long | 59c | 10,577$6,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,233.4 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cody Garbrandt | 46c | 9,814$4,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,286.54 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cody Garbrandt | 41c | 9,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,350 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…87debacked Cody Garbrandt | 41c | 8,779$3,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,184.58 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Cody Garbrandt | 41c | 8,764$3,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,148.34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Cody Garbrandt | 78c | 7,924$6,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.23 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Cody Garbrandt | 52c | 7,540$3,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,647.62 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Cody Garbrandt | 40c | 7,500$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…d3eabacked Cody Garbrandt | 44c | 7,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.99 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…20d1backed Cody Garbrandt | 43c | 6,878$2,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,949.22 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cody Garbrandt | 21c | 6,474$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,089.38 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Cody Garbrandt | 38c | 6,085$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,793.24 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Cody Garbrandt | 45c | 6,031$2,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,341.21 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Cody Garbrandt | 45c | 5,952$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,277.39 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Xiao Long | 57c | 5,714$3,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,257.08 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cody Garbrandt | 49c | 5,678$2,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,884.06 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Cody Garbrandt | 38c | 5,310$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,292.2 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cody Garbrandt | 63c | 5,258$3,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.27 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae84…fd9dbacked Xiao Long | 60c | 5,252$3,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,147.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Cody Garbrandt | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x686f…ccb1backed Xiao Long | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…bb93backed Cody Garbrandt | 73c | 5,000$3,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Xiao Long | 31c | 5,000$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.36 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Cody Garbrandt | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750.14 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Xiao Long | 60c | 4,872$2,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,927.97 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Xiao Long | 56c | 4,608$2,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.05 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Xiao Long | 58c | 4,351$2,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,523.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Xiao Long | 64c | 4,320$2,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,764.48 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Cody Garbrandt | 42c | 4,309$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.97 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cody Garbrandt | 53c | 4,180$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.51 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Xiao Long | 60c | 4,106$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463.79 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c35…afa8backed Xiao Long | 1c | 3,997$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…db86backed Xiao Long | 25c | 3,741$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.48 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Cody Garbrandt | 42c | 3,571$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.43 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Xiao Long | 60c | 3,465$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.53 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Xiao Long | 59c | 3,425$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.21 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Cody Garbrandt | 73c | 3,308$2,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.42 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Cody Garbrandt | 41c | 3,050$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.99 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Cody Garbrandt | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Xiao Long | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed Xiao Long | 22c | 3,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Xiao Long | 59c | 2,966$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.59 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Cody Garbrandt | 50c | 2,830$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.61 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Cody Garbrandt | 40c | 2,824$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.38 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Xiao Long | 59c | 2,747$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.43 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Xiao Long | 28c | 2,633$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.74 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…291bbacked Cody Garbrandt | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbc…d4adbacked Cody Garbrandt | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.96 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Xiao Long | 60c | 2,435$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26a9…d191backed Cody Garbrandt | 21c | 2,378$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +138%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Xiao Long | 7c | 2,284$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cody Garbrandt | 40c | 2,283$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.06 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Cody Garbrandt | 41c | 2,232$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.73 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Xiao Long | 46c | 2,219$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.2 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Xiao Long | 62c | 2,100$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.3 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc0…c9e8backed Xiao Long | 53c | 2,053$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.85 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked Xiao Long | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cody Garbrandt | 42c | 1,979$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.14 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Cody Garbrandt | 40c | 1,853$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.46 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567d…68bfbacked Cody Garbrandt | 41c | 1,829$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.27 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Cody Garbrandt | 53c | 1,823$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.18 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Cody Garbrandt | 64c | 1,791$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.24 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Xiao Long | 59c | 1,779$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.4 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…52cabacked Xiao Long | 59c | 1,685$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d51…7317backed Cody Garbrandt | 52c | 1,666$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Xiao Long | 70c | 1,562$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.86 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Cody Garbrandt | 39c | 1,508$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.51 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Xiao Long | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Cody Garbrandt | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Cody Garbrandt | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.98 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Xiao Long | 60c | 1,492$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.3 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Xiao Long | 58c | 1,469$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.37 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 326: Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long (Bantamweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Xiao Long win by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.