Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Christopher O'Connell vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b38c1e00786a3adce4f0ebb9d243dde370b3c2a70f24bfa9cc2ae9002d35147
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Christopher O'Connellof Christopher O'Connell, Nikoloz Basilashvili
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili | 26c | 4,400$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.01 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b84…a239backed Christopher O'Connell | 68c | 2,041$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.69 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 33c | 1,478$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.49 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili | 28c | 1,214$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.76 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Christopher O'Connell | 67c | 1,158$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.51 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc635…9052backed Christopher O'Connell | 68c | 1,009$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.22 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +12.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nikoloz Basilashvili | 32c | 1,003$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.2 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Christopher O'Connell | 69c | 799.98$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.08 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Christopher O'Connell | 68c | 755.52$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.77 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili | 34c | 692$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.59 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Christopher O'Connell | 66c | 588.24$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.24 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 35c | 579.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 12c | 558.72$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.79 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 25c | 452.81$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.77 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Nikoloz Basilashvili | 34c | 389.65$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.58 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Christopher O'Connell | 67c | 350$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 29c | 326.83$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.14 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Christopher O'Connell | 69c | 322.58$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.06 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 34c | 306.58$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.73 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Christopher O'Connell | 67c | 296.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.53 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 34c | 220$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Christopher O'Connell | 67c | 219$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Christopher O'Connell | 64c | 205$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Christopher O'Connell | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Christopher O'Connell | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 32c | 192.32$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.24 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b79…e1e8backed Christopher O'Connell | 65c | 150.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.77 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Nikoloz Basilashvili | 34c | 149.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…9f40backed Christopher O'Connell | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili | 31c | 132$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 31c | 130$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…5c9fbacked Christopher O'Connell | 65c | 103.38$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Christopher O'Connell | 68c | 102.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Christopher O'Connell | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed Christopher O'Connell | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 32c | 97.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb32…787dbacked Christopher O'Connell | 68c | 80.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili | 17c | 80.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…8b6fbacked Christopher O'Connell | 68c | 73.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 21c | 63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 29c | 61.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 108 | 35.2%38 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Christopher O'Connell | 67c | 56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Christopher O'Connell | 67c | 44.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili | 26c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74d…734cbacked Christopher O'Connell | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 284 | 62.3%177 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Christopher O'Connell | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Christopher O'Connell | 76c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Christopher O'Connell | 68c | 32.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Christopher O'Connell | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Christopher O'Connell | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 348 | 51.1%178 W · 170 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Christopher O'Connell | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x592c…ee32backed Christopher O'Connell | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Christopher O'Connell | 69c | 29.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea2…fe7ebacked Christopher O'Connell | 76c | 28.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Christopher O'Connell | 66c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x025f…25cfbacked Christopher O'Connell | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Christopher O'Connell | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 228 | 47.4%108 W · 120 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Christopher O'Connell | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Christopher O'Connell | 76c | 16.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1619…ca7bbacked Christopher O'Connell | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Christopher O'Connell | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Christopher O'Connell vs Nikoloz Basilashvilithis page
- Set Handicap: O'Connell (-1.5) vs Basilashvili (+1.5)O'Connell won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.