Tennis · resolved market
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x941bea9e5fb5e647831373ff50acacf30a3a6a66ec47c1f2ed757b4c1dec3613
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,176,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,148,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,176,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,630 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb75…0252backed Yes | 52c | 1,138,712$593,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593,700.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a1…2877backed Yes | 56c | 369,572$208,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208,423.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Yes | 55c | 330,392$181,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181,619.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a55…f9bebacked Yes | 56c | 236,597$132,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132,494.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed No | 45c | 225,515$101,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123,752.35 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed No | 45c | 102,548$45,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,722.88 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 64c | 99,486$64,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,468.99 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7e…740dbacked Yes | 55c | 89,980$49,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,489.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 42c | 83,498$34,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,570.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +186.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Yes | 50c | 83,353$41,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,320.55 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Yes | 54c | 81,678$44,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,105.87 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…dc90backed No | 44c | 76,336$33,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,403.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Yes | 55c | 73,011$40,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,155.92 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Yes | 55c | 72,199$39,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,444.93 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…0988backed Yes | 58c | 67,414$39,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,207.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 50c | 63,839$32,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,195.86 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 50c | 60,985$30,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,772.56 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Yes | 15c | 50,514$7,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,410.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 43c | 50,395$21,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,797.13 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked No | 43c | 48,129$20,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,239.72 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0344…a65ebacked Yes | 51c | 46,640$23,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,915.09 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff4…29bebacked Yes | 55c | 41,753$22,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,911.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…b5a8backed No | 44c | 40,826$17,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,831.94 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked Yes | 54c | 39,633$21,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,437 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes | 56c | 35,859$20,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,081.19 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 42c | 30,937$13,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,825.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1057…9ea5backed Yes | 54c | 30,000$16,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked No | 42c | 27,466$11,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,031.88 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4612…4f8fbacked Yes | 48c | 27,044$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 55c | 26,546$14,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,638.4 | 647 | 55.2%357 W · 290 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…5c62backed Yes | 51c | 25,028$12,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,854.42 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Yes | 55c | 25,000$13,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked No | 45c | 21,937$9,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,036.19 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Yes | 49c | 20,396$9,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,993.99 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed No | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Yes | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 49c | 18,306$8,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,954.68 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 44c | 17,655$7,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,860.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 50c | 17,500$8,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,718.2 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…dedfbacked Yes | 54c | 17,245$9,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,320 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…6924backed Yes | 58c | 16,886$9,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,762.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…84ddbacked Yes | 23c | 16,583$3,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,827.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 41c | 16,022$6,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,453.01 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 46c | 16,000$7,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,300 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…2943backed Yes | 57c | 15,772$8,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,990 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 17c | 14,718$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.95 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 41c | 14,631$6,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,590.4 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 42c | 14,554$6,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,385.17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed No | 52c | 13,071$6,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,222.95 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe784…77eabacked No | 53c | 12,557$6,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,907.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 48c | 12,539$5,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,578.5 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…7014backed No | 53c | 12,225$6,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,748.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 44c | 12,000$5,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,720 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32a4…3956backed Yes | 52c | 11,382$5,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,904.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e3…22d5backed No | 47c | 11,332$5,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,049.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…cec7backed No | 39c | 10,269$4,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,264.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…45dbbacked Yes | 47c | 10,040$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c92…1b05backed Yes | 48c | 10,000$4,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,811.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf195…fee1backed Yes | 6c | 10,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed No | 46c | 9,846$4,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,325.43 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9836…7101backed Yes | 48c | 9,336$4,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,456.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Yes | 50c | 9,181$4,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,595 | 260 | 45.4%118 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1756…4ff8backed Yes | 49c | 8,710$4,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,261.28 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…52bdbacked Yes | 54c | 8,429$4,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,568.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…1267backed Yes | 55c | 8,301$4,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,565.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 46c | 7,811$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,241.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…52f7backed Yes | 55c | 7,630$4,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,226 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21fa…ccf2backed Yes | 59c | 7,451$4,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,395.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1383…bf84backed Yes | 62c | 7,258$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95fa…bf65backed No | 69c | 7,246$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.38 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 43c | 6,654$2,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,824.94 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…c0b8backed No | 51c | 6,604$3,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,235.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked No | 53c | 6,570$3,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,087.9 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc56f…75efbacked No | 52c | 6,346$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,046.15 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a6…ca5fbacked No | 39c | 6,335$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,864.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5720…6b19backed Yes | 56c | 6,256$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Yes | 52c | 6,250$3,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,222 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed No | 47c | 6,082$2,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,215.43 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…d02cbacked No | 45c | 5,985$2,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,291.54 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 47c | 5,744$2,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,029.16 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…8b16backed No | 58c | 5,615$3,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 48c | 5,600$2,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,897.99 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 44c | 5,558$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,108.22 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +145.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 47c | 5,452$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,881.97 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 56c | 5,322$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 44c | 5,068$2,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,846.46 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…ec44backed Yes | 53c | 5,018$2,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,643.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…c5d0backed Yes | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b37…de68backed Yes | 59c | 4,769$2,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,813.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 45c | 4,750$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.98 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed No | 61c | 4,645$2,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.59 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b20…75d3backed Yes | 45c | 4,433$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…d395backed No | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 50c | 4,310$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,154.92 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Yes | 56c | 4,283$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa588…dad8backed Yes | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5516…cbf4backed Yes | 48c | 4,000$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…12d6backed Yes | 35c | 4,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked No | 48c | 4,000$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.99 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?this page
- Will Alex de Minaur win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Alexander Bublik win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Andrey Rublev win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Ben Shelton win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Cameron Norrie win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?Yes won
- Will Casper Ruud win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Denis Shapovalov win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Holger Rune win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Jack Draper win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Karen Khachanov win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Sebastian Korda win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 US Open?No won
- Will Tommy Paul win the 2025 US Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.