TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x60a9…b5a8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
20
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick16cpaid-12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Erste Bank Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18,790Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$18,789.59
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17,994Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+126.9%+$22,831.94
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger Aliassimebacked Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$6,497Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,497.35
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcarazbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,682Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,682
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,170
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,900.16
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$884Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$883.86
US Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iga Swiatekbacked Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
US Open: Tomas Machac vs Taylor Fritzbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$3,499Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,499.42
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,900.48
US Open: Taylor Townsend vs Mirra Andreevabacked Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+440.9%+$6,173.1
US Open: Ugo Blanchet vs Tomas Machacbacked Blanchet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,520
US Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Jan Lennard Struffbacked Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+206%+$2,059.94
US Open: Ben Shelton vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$4,100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+396.3%+$16,247.46
US Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Alex de Minaurbacked Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$2,970Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,969.79
US Open: Alexander Zverev vs. Jacob Fearnleybacked Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$265.99
US Open: Alexander Bublik vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,140
US Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Jaume Munarbacked Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$3,914Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,913.62
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16,995Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$16,994.82
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.