Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Alexander Bublik vs Tristan Schoolkate
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01a2eafedb93129112f58745e536dbeafeb96096c83e98eefb5aa14ab45a3864
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bublikof Bublik, Schoolkate
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60a9…b5a8backed Schoolkate | 13c | 8,820$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Schoolkate | 20c | 8,490$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.23 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Schoolkate | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4d…69e7backed Schoolkate | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -5.5wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -40%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Bublik | 79c | 4,865$3,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.6 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Bublik | 80c | 4,317$3,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.5 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bublik | 80c | 3,055$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.66 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Schoolkate | 8c | 2,926$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.74 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Schoolkate | 15c | 2,750$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Bublik | 80c | 1,855$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.63 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Schoolkate | 18c | 1,423$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.2 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Bublik | 80c | 1,109$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.8 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Bublik | 79c | 1,007$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.56 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Schoolkate | 18c | 968.02$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.24 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bublik | 79c | 606.68$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.53 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Schoolkate | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Schoolkate | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Schoolkate | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Bublik | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Schoolkate | 18c | 294.23$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Schoolkate | 9c | 270$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a6…1198backed Schoolkate | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Bublik | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ad…92abbacked Schoolkate | 13c | 167.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Schoolkate | 19c | 105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Schoolkate | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Schoolkate | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 512 | 43%220 W · 292 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…5976backed Schoolkate | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bublik | 79c | 38.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed Bublik | 80c | 19.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.