NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b450546139add80d99b14a011ca69af48703794f58adac313c3dbdd3cc3dc47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Pacers, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,639,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,876,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,639,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Pacers | 17c | 500,000$85,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,999.97 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Timberwolves | 79c | 127,255$100,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,689.5 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5afb…4511backed Pacers | 17c | 100,467$16,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,889.36 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…7ccbbacked Pacers | 18c | 80,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,400 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a3…8a3dbacked Pacers | 18c | 55,763$10,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,037.41 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02fc…2c31backed Pacers | 17c | 50,000$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,500 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 80c | 43,560$34,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,730.47 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Timberwolves | 75c | 37,016$27,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,298.51 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Pacers | 27c | 36,166$9,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,838.04 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…de14backed Pacers | 18c | 28,188$5,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,073.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Timberwolves | 74c | 23,761$17,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,147.3 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…b5a8backed Pacers | 17c | 23,021$3,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,913.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Pacers | 17c | 17,342$2,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,875.65 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Pacers | 18c | 13,313$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.37 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pacers | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Pacers | 1c | 9,601$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.01 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Pacers | 18c | 8,310$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.8 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Timberwolves | 76c | 7,879$6,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.68 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Pacers | 15c | 7,316$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.67 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Timberwolves | 75c | 6,699$5,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.24 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Pacers | 18c | 5,972$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.16 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Pacers | 25c | 5,738$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.78 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…99febacked Timberwolves | 77c | 5,696$4,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.31 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Pacers | 1c | 5,670$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.55 | 161 | 30.4%49 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09e1…82a6backed Pacers | 44c | 5,135$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Pacers | 10c | 5,118$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.15 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Pacers | 0c | 4,452$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Pacers | 18c | 4,305$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.23 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Timberwolves | 69c | 4,045$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.31 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Pacers | 29c | 3,800$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf390…79efbacked Pacers | 22c | 3,700$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Pacers | 22c | 3,673$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers | 17c | 3,100$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Pacers | 17c | 2,706$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.56 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…8a9fbacked Pacers | 19c | 2,684$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…de85backed Pacers | 8c | 2,628$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Timberwolves | 64c | 2,533$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.81 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Pacers | 16c | 2,350$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…3c20backed Pacers | 14c | 2,173$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Pacers | 20c | 2,153$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.41 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Pacers | 29c | 2,054$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.08 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Pacers | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Pacers | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Pacers | 15c | 1,999$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.83 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pacers | 30c | 1,767$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.06 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Timberwolves | 68c | 1,591$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.85 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Timberwolves | 80c | 1,586$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.98 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Pacers | 17c | 1,544$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.48 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Timberwolves | 68c | 1,382$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.35 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Pacers | 29c | 1,379$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Timberwolves | 78c | 1,233$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.54 | 258 | 36.8%95 W · 163 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pacers | 19c | 1,207$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.85 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Pacers | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Timberwolves | 75c | 1,174$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.79 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Pacers | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Pacers | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Pacers | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Pacers | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed Pacers | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Pacers | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Timberwolves | 79c | 994.64$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.39 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…8cd4backed Pacers | 29c | 980$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.2 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Timberwolves | 66c | 974.11$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.2 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Pacers | 23c | 900$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 175 | 40.6%71 W · 104 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Timberwolves | 77c | 883.9$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.4 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Pacers | 17c | 882.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 563 | 52%293 W · 270 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…55f1backed Pacers | 13c | 797$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.37 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Pacers | 32c | 781.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Pacers | 9c | 777$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.93 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Pacers | 31c | 774.19$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Pacers | 30c | 719.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…3c12backed Pacers | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Pacers | 17c | 708.94$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.52 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…b76cbacked Pacers | 33c | 700$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x737e…8e9bbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 650$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f82cbacked Timberwolves | 69c | 637.64$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.28 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…252ebacked Pacers | 33c | 602.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x242d…603abacked Pacers | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…02c5backed Timberwolves | 70c | 587.99$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Pacers | 35c | 559.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.99 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…7fc9backed Pacers | 18c | 557.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2506…61e3backed Pacers | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Pacers | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a4…a680backed Pacers | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf526…2fbdbacked Pacers | 18c | 549.8$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7830…bc55backed Pacers | 18c | 544.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Timberwolves | 74c | 519.92$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.95 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc478…59bdbacked Pacers | 20c | 508.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 17cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x699b…fb32backed Pacers | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Timberwolves | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23b1…8e10backed Pacers | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Pacers | 6c | 460.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…1cedbacked Pacers | 44c | 455.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 243 | 23.9%58 W · 185 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Pacers | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Pacers | 17c | 443.56$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 306 | 19.9%61 W · 245 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Pacers | 18c | 416.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Pacers | 18c | 400$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Pacers | 38c | 375.42$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.58 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a5…8805backed Pacers | 32c | 368.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed9e…f5f1backed Timberwolves | 75c | 365.91$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.94 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Timberwolvesthis page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Pacers won
- Pacers vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5Under won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.